Session 4: Economics: Economics for Valuation Reading 19: Foreign Exchange Parity Relations
LOS j: Calculate the real interest rate, given interest rates and inflation rates and the assumption that the international Fisher relation holds.
George Canyon, CFA, an international trader and analyst with Canyon Trading, wants to use the international Fisher relation to determine his trading strategies for the Chinese yuan. Based on his analysis, the expected inflation rate is 7% and the real interest rate is 3%. In order to determine a price for certain corporate debt Canyon is interested in buying, he will use the exact method of the international Fisher relation. Therefore, the nominal interest rate that he should use is:
Using the international Fisher relation: (1 + r) = (1 + real r) × (1 + E (i))
Where: r = nominal interest rate real r = real interest rate E (i) = expected inflation
The nominal interest rate is: (1 + r) = (1 + 0.03) × (1 + 0.07) (1 + r) = (1.102) r = 0.102 or 10.2% |