Session 11: Equity Valuation: Industry and Company Analysis in a Global Context Reading 42: Discounted Dividend Valuation
LOS k: Explain terminal value, and discuss alternative approaches to determining the terminal value in a DDM.
Kyle Star Partners is expected to have earnings in year five of $6.00 per share, a dividend payout ratio of 50%, and a required rate of return of 11%. For year 6 and beyond the dividend growth rate is expected to fall to 3% in perpetuity. Estimate the terminal value at the end of year five using the Gordon growth model.
The dividend for year 5 is expected to be $3 ($6 times 50%). The dividend for year 6 is then expected to be $3.00 × 1.03 = $3.09. The terminal value using the Gordon growth model is therefore:
terminal value = 3.09 / (0.11 ? 0.03) = $38.625
P5 = D6 / (k ? g)
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