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chandsingh

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21# 跳转到 »
发表于 2011-7-11 15:25 | 只看该作者
AM 40/60
PM 30/60

70/120, Band 8 or 9.

See you next year

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giants2010

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22#
发表于 2011-7-11 15:25 | 只看该作者
AM: 40/60
PM: 48/60

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thecfawannabe

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23#
发表于 2011-7-11 15:25 | 只看该作者
OK do I have a problem if I have run a sensitivity and scenario analysis on this? Or is it only a problem if I run a Monte Carlo Simulation?

I'm thinking right around the 74% range. My pessimistic is probably a little low and my optimistic is a little high.

AM
Questions#...Best/Worst/Pessim./Optimistic/Average
1-6--5---3---4---5--- 4
7-12 ---5--- 3---4---4--- 4
13-18 - 2-- 3-- 4-- 3.5
19-24 - 5-- 2-- 3-- 4-- 3.5
25-30 - 5-- 3-- 4-- 5-- 4
31-36 - 5-- 3-- 4-- 5-- 4
37-42 - 5-- 3-- 3-- 5-- -4
43-48 - 5-- 4-- 4-- 5-- 4.5
49-54 - 5-- 4-- 4-- 5-- 4.5
55-60 - 5-- 3-- 3-- 4-- 4
Session Score 83% 50% 60% 77% 67%

PM
Questions... Best/ Worst/Pessimistic/Optimistic/Average
61-66--- 6--- 5--- 5--- 6--- 5.5
67-72--- 6---4 ---5 6--- 5
73-78--- 6--- 4--- 5--- 6--- 5
79-84--- 6--- 3--- 4--- 5--- 4.5
85-90--- 5--- 4--- 4--- 5--- 4.5
91-96--- 5--- 3--- 4--- 5--- 4
97-102--- 5--- 4--- 4--- 4--- 4.5
103- 108--6--- 4--- 4--- 5--- 5
109- 114- 6--- 4--- 4--- 5--- 5
115- 120- 5--- 3--- 3--- 5--- 4
Session Score 93% 63% 70% 87% 78%

Total Score % 88% 57% 65% 82% 73%

AM
------------------- Best/-Worst-/Pessimistic/Optimistic/Average
--- Best -------88%---72%----72%-------85%---------80%
PM Worst-------73%---57%----62%-------70%---------65%
--- Pessimistic-77%---60%----65%-------73%---------68%
--- Optimistic--85%---68%----73%-------82%---------77%
--- Average--- -81%---64%----69%-------78%---------73%

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Houjichasan

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24#
发表于 2011-7-11 15:25 | 只看该作者
I remember someone posting in Level II that last year they walked out feeling very confident. Not only did they fail but to add insult to injury it was band 7. And I've talked to some people who have no clue how they ended up passing.

Personally I think I failed, but if my guesses were good then there might be a chance. I think a lot of people will be surprised in August. With only 120 questions the difference between getting band 7 and band 10 could only be a few questions so don't give up if you see a band 6 or something come results day!

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liquidity

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25#
发表于 2011-7-11 15:25 | 只看该作者
0 - 50% 51 - 70% 71 - 100%
Ethics - x -
QM - - x
Econ. - - x
Corp. Fin. - x -
FSA - x -
Equity - x -
F. income - - x
Alt.asses x - -
Der - - x
PM - x -


70.0 %, this is my pessimistic estimate (but not worst case)

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kingstongal

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26#
发表于 2011-7-11 15:25 | 只看该作者
I guess keeping aside the score we should hope on random probability selection.

If that strategy fails then i would go for trail and error

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redskins44

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27#
发表于 2011-7-11 15:25 | 只看该作者
AM: 60-70%
PM: 80-90%

Overall: 70% (pessimistic) - 75%(expected)- 80% (optimistic)

but if 40%+ guys around the world are nailing 70%+ then CFA has really become competitive and I probably failed, although a tail risk .

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