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- 2011-7-2
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15#
发表于 2011-7-11 19:17
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jmac01 Wrote:
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> 2. mbs are market-directional investment that
> should be avoided when one expect interest rates
> to __________.
>
> So, everyone says fall.
>
> But, when yields fall, the price increases but
> then levels off/falls due to the negative
> convexity. When yields rise, the price falls (but
> not as much as a corporate bond). So, is it
> really correct to say that you would avoid MBS if
> you expect rates to decrease? doesnt seem like
> you would buy them if rates were increasing.
I think this statement would apply if you take a relative approach, say, in relation to straight corporate bonds. Because of the negative convexity from the prepay option in MBS's, you would rather be long option-free bonds if rates fall, all else being equal. |
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