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再问一个一级的题目

TEST 4  T 26

请问这一题应该选哪一个?具体理由是什么?多谢!

An analyst is investigating one stock with high after-tax return above he benchmark and is concerned about his perceptions of slowdown in the macroeconomic next year. So he adjusts the historical probability of the stock’s return above the benchmark. The analyst is best characterized as gaining a(n);

A  A  priori probability

B   objective probability

C  empirical probability

D   subjective probability

D   subjective probability  这是他自己主观的判断

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