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Reading 17: The Exchange Rate and Balance of Payments-LOS b习

Session 4: Economics: Economics for Valuation
Reading 17: The Exchange Rate and Balance of Payments

LOS b: Explain the factors that influence supply and demand in the foreign exchange market.

 

 

 

Pauline Zeiss, CFA, is preparing a report on the investment climate in the country of Andalmosa. She has assembled the following data:

  • The Andalmosan central bank’s actions have an indirect effect on exchange rates.
  • Andalmosan currency is likely to depreciate.
  • Andalmosan interest rates are low.

Given the information presented above, what conclusions can Zeiss draw about the Andalmosan government’s policies regarding currency supplies and exchange rates?

Currency supply

Exchange rate policy

A)

Too low

Crawling peg
B)

Too high

Crawling peg
C)

Too high

Flexible

Pauline Zeiss, CFA, is preparing a report on the investment climate in the country of Andalmosa. She has assembled the following data:

  • The Andalmosan central bank’s actions have an indirect effect on exchange rates.
  • Andalmosan currency is likely to depreciate.
  • Andalmosan interest rates are low.

Given the information presented above, what conclusions can Zeiss draw about the Andalmosan government’s policies regarding currency supplies and exchange rates?

Currency supply

Exchange rate policy

A)

Too low

Crawling peg
B)

Too high

Crawling peg
C)

Too high

Flexible



When a country adopts a flexible exchange-rate policy, the central bank doesn’t manipulate exchange rates, although its actions can affect exchange rates indirectly. Given the expectations that the currency will depreciate, this suggests that the currency supply must be too high. Low in country interest rates are likely to increase the supply of the currency on foreign exchange markets as investors seek higher returns elsewhere.

TOP

For most goods and services, supply and demand are independent. For currencies on the foreign exchange market, however, supply and demand are affected by the same factors. This is most likely to cause:

A)
greater volatility in the quantity of currencies traded.
B)
imbalances that require central banks to intervene in the foreign exchange market.
C)
greater volatility in exchange rates.

TOP

For most goods and services, supply and demand are independent. For currencies on the foreign exchange market, however, supply and demand are affected by the same factors. This is most likely to cause:

A)
greater volatility in the quantity of currencies traded.
B)
imbalances that require central banks to intervene in the foreign exchange market.
C)
greater volatility in exchange rates.



The interdependence of supply and demand for currencies means an increase in demand for a currency will coincide with a decrease in supply of that currency on the foreign exchange market. The result is that exchange rates are more volatile than the prices of goods for which supply and demand are independent.

TOP

Which of the following would increase the demand for U.S. dollars in the foreign exchange market?

A)
The purchase of Japanese electronics by American consumers.
B)
The purchase of a Chinese company by a U.S. investor.
C)
The sale of U.S. computers to Belgian consumers.

TOP

Which of the following would increase the demand for U.S. dollars in the foreign exchange market?

A)
The purchase of Japanese electronics by American consumers.
B)
The purchase of a Chinese company by a U.S. investor.
C)
The sale of U.S. computers to Belgian consumers.



The sale of U.S. computers to Belgian consumers would require Belgian entities to buy the computers from U.S. manufacturers thereby converting their euros to dollars. Thus, there would be a supply of euros and a demand for U.S. dollars in the foreign exchange market. Both remaining choices would each cause a supply of dollars and a demand for the foreign currency in the foreign exchange marketplace.

TOP

Analyst Bradley Lindge has collected information about the economy of the Grakh Republic. He has assessed the demand for exports from the country, the interest rates in the country, and estimates regarding future exchange rates. Lindge is most likely attempting to determine the:

A)
supply of Grakh Republic currency.
B)
expected change in Grakh Republic interest rates relative to those of foreign countries.
C)
demand for Grakh Republic currency.

TOP

Analyst Bradley Lindge has collected information about the economy of the Grakh Republic. He has assessed the demand for exports from the country, the interest rates in the country, and estimates regarding future exchange rates. Lindge is most likely attempting to determine the:

A)
supply of Grakh Republic currency.
B)
expected change in Grakh Republic interest rates relative to those of foreign countries.
C)
demand for Grakh Republic currency.



The basic determinants of demand for any currency are the demand for exports from the country, interest rates for assets denominated in the currency, and expected future exchange rates.

TOP

thanks

TOP

re

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