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Reading 18- i~ Q1-5

1ry Beth Morgan and Shaban Shoshi are currency traders for Mercury Forex Inc. They have compiled the following information concerning currencies in Sweden (SEK), New Zealand (NZD), and United States (USD).

 

SEK/USD

USD/NZD

Spot bid rate

7.8927

$0.6994

Spot ask rate

7.9021

$0.7000

3-month forward bid rate

7.8780

$0.7010

3-month forward ask rate

7.8794

$0.7020

As they are reviewing the information in the currency quotes, Morgan states, “the Swedish Krona is trading at a forward premium, however that premium is less than 1 percent.” Shoshi replies, I’ll have to double check that, but it looks like the NZD is weak relative to the USD.”

With regard to their statements:

A)   Morgan’s statement is correct; Shoshi’s statement is correct.

B)   Morgan’s statement is incorrect; Shoshi’s statement is incorrect.

C)   Morgan’s statement is correct; Shoshi’s statement is incorrect.

D)   Morgan’s statement is incorrect; Shoshi’s statement is correct.


2currency trader has compiled the following currency quotes:

 

USD/EUR ($/

1ry Beth Morgan and Shaban Shoshi are currency traders for Mercury Forex Inc. They have compiled the following information concerning currencies in Sweden (SEK), New Zealand (NZD), and United States (USD).

 

SEK/USD

USD/NZD

Spot bid rate

7.8927

$0.6994

Spot ask rate

7.9021

$0.7000

3-month forward bid rate

7.8780

$0.7010

3-month forward ask rate

7.8794

$0.7020

As they are reviewing the information in the currency quotes, Morgan states, “the Swedish Krona is trading at a forward premium, however that premium is less than 1 percent.” Shoshi replies, I’ll have to double check that, but it looks like the NZD is weak relative to the USD.”

With regard to their statements:

A)   Morgan’s statement is correct; Shoshi’s statement is correct.

B)   Morgan’s statement is incorrect; Shoshi’s statement is incorrect.

C)   Morgan’s statement is correct; Shoshi’s statement is incorrect.

D)   Morgan’s statement is incorrect; Shoshi’s statement is correct.

The correct answer was C)

Remember that the forward premium or discount is always on the currency in the denominator of the quote.

Since bid/ask quotes are given, use the midpoints. The spot mid point = 7.8974 and the forward midpoint = 7.8787. Since Morgan’s statement is in terms of the Swedish Krona, we need to convert the currency quotes to USD/SEK.

Spot midpoint = (1/7.8974) = $0.1266 Forward midpoint = (1/7.8787) = $0.1269 USD/SEK premium/discount = [($0.1269 – $0.1266)/$0.1266] [12/3] = 0.95% premium for the Swedish Krona. Morgan’s statement is correct.

To evaluate Shoshi’s statement, first find the midpoints.

Spot USD/NZD midpoint = $0.6997 Forward USD/NZD midpoint = $0.7015. USD/NZD premium/discount = [($0.7015 -$0.6997)/$0.6997] [12/3] = 1.03% premium.

Since the NZD is trading at a forward premium, the NZD is strong relative to the USD. Shoshi’s statement is incorrect.

2currency trader has compiled the following currency quotes:

 

USD/EUR ($/

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