When constructing a regression model to predict portfolio returns, an analyst runs a regression for the past five year period. After examining the results, she determines that an increase in interest rates two years ago had a significant impact on portfolio results for the time of the increase until the present. By performing a regression over two separate time periods, the analyst would be attempting to prevent which type of misspecification?
A) |
Incorrectly pooling data. | |
B) |
Using a lagged dependent variable as an independent variable. | |
|
The relationship between returns and the dependent variables can change over time, so it is critical that the data be pooled correctly. Running the regression for multiple sub-periods (in this case two) rather than one time period can produce more accurate results. |