LOS e: Determine whether the real exchange rate has changed in a period, given the beginning-of-period (nominal) exchange rate, the inflation rates in the period, and the end-of-period (nominal) exchange rate.
The exchange rate between the U.S. and Canada was 1.5 to 1 ($/Can$) one year ago. At that time, the ratio of the price levels of the U.S. consumption basket to the Canadian consumption basket was also 1.5. During the year, U.S. inflation was 4% and Canadian inflation was 2%. What must the end-of-period nominal exchange rate be in order for the end-of-period real exchange rate to be the same as the beginning of period real exchange rate?
The beginning-of-period real exchange rate is 1 (X = S (PF/PD) = 1.5 (1 / 1.5) = 1). After the inflation during the year, the ratio of the price levels (PF/PD) will be 0.6538 [= (1 × 1.02) / (1.5 × 1.04) = 1.02 / 1.56]. Hence, for the real exchange rate to equal one, the rate must be 1 / 0.6538 = 1.53.
[此贴子已经被作者于2010-4-15 15:45:21编辑过] |