Which of the following statements is least accurate with regard to the tests for the three forms of the efficient market hypothesis?
A) |
The historical performance of professional money managers supports the strong form of the EMH. | |
B) |
The tests for the semi-strong form EMH give mixed results. Time-series tests such as dividend yield and default spread reject the semi-strong form EMH and event studies on stock splits and announcements of accounting changes support it. | |
C) |
Results of trading rule tests, such as filter rules, support the semi-strong form of the EMH. | |
Results of trading rule tests, such as filter rules, support the weak form of the EMH.
The other choices are true. Tests show that professional money managers perform no better than a random buy and hold strategy. This supports the strong form EMH contention that stock prices reflect all information, public and private. (Aside from corporate insiders and specialists, no group has monopolistic access to information that would result in superior returns.) |