First, calculate the probability of an up move or a down move:
U = 1.20 so D = 0.833
Pu = (1 + 0.08 ? 0.833) / (1.20 ? 0.833) = 0.673
Pd = 1 ? 0.673 = 0.327
Two up moves produce a stock price of 40 × 1.44 = 57.60 and a call value at the end of two periods of 20.60. An up and a down move leave the stock price unchanged at 40 and produce a call value of 3. Two down moves result in the option being out of the money. The value of the call option is discounted back one year and then discounted back again to today. The calculations are as follows:
C+ = [20.6(0.673) + 3(0.327)] / 1.08 = 13.745
C- = [3(0.673) + 0 (0.327)] / 1.08 = 1.869
Call value today = [13.745(0.673) + 1.869(0.327)] / 1.08 = 9.13