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10#
发表于 2011-7-13 16:45
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I think settlement risk comprises both credit risk and liquidity risk ( but with a focus on liquidity ) .
Credit event ALONE by itself denotes that one party is insolvent and is not likely to ever be able to settle.
In settlement risk event , they may miss a payment or two but are otherwise solvent.
settlement risk event can happen due to liquidity without credit event happening , due to temporary liquidity crisis . But can happen due to other horrible or shady circumstances as well:
Schweser points to Hertstatt when a German bank was told to stop business at the end of the current day , but had already taken in payments from various counterparties. At the end of the day , these counterparties did not get their dues in foreign currencies or whatever instrument they had paid for ( cash flows ) .They became fully exposed even when they were almost fully hedged against this bank on their books.
This kind of problem is impossible for a default model to capture
Morning : full faith , Evening : Fully busted. i.e. settlement risk event occurred. |
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