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发表于 2012-4-3 10:27
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A domestic investor from the U.S. invested in securities in Mexico one year ago. At that time, the exchange rate was $0.07/peso. The ratio of the price levels of the domestic consumption basket to the foreign consumption basket was equal to 7. Over the past year the U.S. inflation rate was 2% and the inflation rate in Mexico was 6%. The current end-of-the year spot exchange rate is $0.085/peso. What was the beginning real exchange rate one year ago?
The real exchange rate is defined as the actual spot exchange rate, S, multiplied by the ratio of the price levels of the consumption baskets in the two countries.X = S(PF / PD) = 0.07(1 / 7) = 0.01.
What is the end of year real exchange rate?
Real exchange rate movements are defined as changes in the exchange rate that are not explained by inflation differentials.X = S(PF / PD) = 0.085(1.06 / 7.14) = 0.01262
Which of the following statements regarding the real exchange rate is least accurate? Using the data in this example, the: A)
| constant real rate implies that the changes in the nominal rate are simply a reflection of the inflation differential. |
| B)
| changes in rates imply that exchange rate risk was present. |
| C)
| change in the nominal exchange rate does not reflect the inflation differential; therefore, the real exchange rate has changed. |
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In this example, the real rate was not constant over this period of time. The beginning exchange rate was 0.01 and the ending exchange rate was 0.013. The nominal exchange rate does not reflect the inflation differential and the real rate has changed. Changes in the real rate of interest reflect the fact that exchange rate risk is present and these changes can have a significant impact on realized returns. |
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