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status quo trap vs. recallability trap

what’s your take on the best way to think of these independently, as they are very familiar
Status quo trap—an analyst bases predictions on the recent past.
Recallability trap—an analyst lets past disasters or dramatic events weigh too heavily in his forecasts.
if the case doesn’t go on about a “disaster/crisis”, then status quo would be a better choice…thoughts?

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上一主题:2005 Q2 A active risk
下一主题:CFAI Vol 4, Page 279, Ques 11E