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Reading 17: The Exchange Rate and Balance of Payments - LO

Q1. Pauline Zeiss, CFA, is preparing a report on the investment climate in the country of Andalmosa. She has assembled the following data:

  • The Andalmosan central bank’s actions have an indirect effect on exchange rates.

  • Andalmosan currency is likely to depreciate.

  • Andalmosan interest rates are low.

Given the information presented above, what conclusions can Zeiss draw about the Andalmosan government’s policies regarding currency supplies and exchange rates?

                Currency supply                       Exchange rate policy

 

A)       Too low                                      Crawling peg

B)       Too high                                    Crawling peg

C)       Too high                                    Flexible

Q2. For most goods and services, supply and demand are independent. For currencies on the foreign exchange market, however, supply and demand are affected by the same factors. This is most likely to cause:

A)   greater volatility in exchange rates.

B)   greater volatility in the quantity of currencies traded.

C)   imbalances that require central banks to intervene in the foreign exchange market.

Q3. Which of the following would increase the demand for U.S. dollars in the foreign exchange market?

A)   The purchase of Japanese electronics by American consumers.

B)   The purchase of a Chinese company by a U.S. investor.

C)   The sale of U.S. computers to Belgian consumers.

Q4. Analyst Bradley Lindge has collected information about the economy of the Grakh Republic. He has assessed the demand for exports from the country, the interest rates in the country, and estimates regarding future exchange rates. Lindge is most likely attempting to determine the:

A)   demand for Grakh Republic currency.

B)   supply of Grakh Republic currency.

C)   expected change in Grakh Republic interest rates relative to those of foreign countries.

答案和详解如下:

Q1. Pauline Zeiss, CFA, is preparing a report on the investment climate in the country of Andalmosa. She has assembled the following data:

  • The Andalmosan central bank’s actions have an indirect effect on exchange rates.

  • Andalmosan currency is likely to depreciate.

  • Andalmosan interest rates are low.

Given the information presented above, what conclusions can Zeiss draw about the Andalmosan government’s policies regarding currency supplies and exchange rates?

                Currency supply                       Exchange rate policy

 

A)       Too low                                      Crawling peg

B)       Too high                                    Crawling peg

C)       Too high                                    Flexible

Correct answer is C)

When a country adopts a flexible exchange-rate policy, the central bank doesn’t manipulate exchange rates, although its actions can affect exchange rates indirectly. Given the expectations that the currency will depreciate, this suggests that the currency supply must be too high. Low in country interest rates are likely to increase the supply of the currency on foreign exchange markets as investors seek higher returns elsewhere.

Q2. For most goods and services, supply and demand are independent. For currencies on the foreign exchange market, however, supply and demand are affected by the same factors. This is most likely to cause:

A)   greater volatility in exchange rates.

B)   greater volatility in the quantity of currencies traded.

C)   imbalances that require central banks to intervene in the foreign exchange market.

Correct answer is A)

The interdependence of supply and demand for currencies means an increase in demand for a currency will coincide with a decrease in supply of that currency on the foreign exchange market. The result is that exchange rates are more volatile than the prices of goods for which supply and demand are independent.

Q3. Which of the following would increase the demand for U.S. dollars in the foreign exchange market?

A)   The purchase of Japanese electronics by American consumers.

B)   The purchase of a Chinese company by a U.S. investor.

C)   The sale of U.S. computers to Belgian consumers.

Correct answer is C)         

The sale of U.S. computers to Belgian consumers would require Belgian entities to buy the computers from U.S. manufacturers thereby converting their euros to dollars. Thus, there would be a supply of euros and a demand for U.S. dollars in the foreign exchange market. Both remaining choices would each cause a supply of dollars and a demand for the foreign currency in the foreign exchange marketplace.

Q4. Analyst Bradley Lindge has collected information about the economy of the Grakh Republic. He has assessed the demand for exports from the country, the interest rates in the country, and estimates regarding future exchange rates. Lindge is most likely attempting to determine the:

A)   demand for Grakh Republic currency.

B)   supply of Grakh Republic currency.

C)   expected change in Grakh Republic interest rates relative to those of foreign countries.

Correct answer is A)

The basic determinants of demand for any currency are the demand for exports from the country, interest rates for assets denominated in the currency, and expected future exchange rates.

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