Calculate the no-arbitrage forward price for a 90-day forward on a stock that is currently priced at $50.00 and is expected to pay a dividend of $0.50 in 30 days and a $0.60 in 75 days. The annual risk free rate is 5% and the yield curve is flat.
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The present value of expected dividends is: $0.50 / (1.0530 / 365) + $0.60 / (1.0575 / 365) = $1.092
Future price = ($50.00 ? 1.092) × 1.0590 / 365 = $49.49
An index is currently 965 and the continuously compounded dividend yield on the index is 2.3%. What is the no-arbitrage price on a one-year index forward contract if the continuously compounded risk-free rate is 5%.
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FP = S0 e-δT (eRT) = S0 e(R-δ)T = 965e(.05-.023) = 991.4
Jim Trent, CFA has been asked to price a three month forward contract on 10,000 shares of Global Industries stock. The stock is currently trading at $58 and will pay a dividend of $2 today. If the effective annual risk-free rate is 6%, what price should the forward contract have? Assume the stock price will change value after the dividend is paid.
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One method is to subtract the future value of the dividend from the future value of the asset calculated at the risk free rate (i.e. the no-arbitrage forward price with no dividend). FP = 58(1.06)1/4 – 2(1.06)1/4 = $56.82 This is equivalent to subtracting the present value of the dividend from the current price of the asset and then calculating the no-arbitrage forward price based on that value.
The value of the S& 500 Index is 1,260. The continuously compounded risk-free rate is 5.4% and the continuous dividend yield is 3.5%. Calculate the no-arbitrage price of a 160-day forward contract on the index.
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FP = 1,260 × e(0.054 ? 0.035) × (160 / 365) = 1,270.54
A stock is currently priced at $110 and will pay a $2 dividend in 85 days and is expected to pay a $2.20 dividend in 176 days. The no arbitrage price of a six-month (182-day) forward contract when the effective annual interest rate is 8% is closest to:
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In the formulation below, the present value of the dividends is subtracted from the spot price, and then the future value of this amount at the expiration date is calculated. (110 – 2/1.0885/365 – 2.20/1.08176/365) 1.08182/365 = $110.06 Alternatively, the future value of the dividends could be subtracted from the future value of the stock price based on the risk-free rate over the contract term.
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