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标题: Reading 9: Common Probability Distributions-LOS a 习题精选 [打印本页]

作者: 1215    时间: 2011-3-4 12:01     标题: [2011]Session 3-Reading 9: Common Probability Distributions-LOS a 习题精选

Session 3: Quantitative Methods: Application
Reading 9: Common Probability Distributions

LOS a: Explain a probability distribution and distinguish between discrete and continuous random variables.

 

 

Which of the following statements about the normal probability distribution is most accurate?

A)
Sixty-eight percent of the area under the normal curve falls between the mean and 1 standard deviation above the mean.
B)
The normal curve is asymmetrical about its mean.
C)
Five percent of the normal curve probability is more than two standard deviations from the mean.


 

The normal curve is symmetrical about its mean with 34% of the area under the normal curve falling between the mean and one standard deviation above the mean. Ninety-five percent of the normal curve is within two standard deviations of the mean, so five percent of the normal curve falls outside two standard deviations from the mean.


作者: 1215    时间: 2011-3-4 12:02

Which of the following is least likely a probability distribution?

A)
Roll an irregular die: p(1) = p(2) = p(3) = p(4) = 0.2 and p(5) = p(6) = 0.1.
B)
Flip a coin: P(H) = P(T) = 0.5.
C)
Zeta Corp.: P(dividend increases) = 0.60, P(dividend decreases) = 0.30.


All the probabilities must be listed. In the case of Zeta Corp. the probabilities do not sum to one.


作者: 1215    时间: 2011-3-4 12:05

Which of the following statements about probability distributions is least accurate?

A)
A binomial probability distribution is an example of a continuous probability distribution.
B)
A discrete random variable is a variable that can assume only certain clearly separated values resulting from a count of some set of items.
C)
The skewness of a normal distribution is zero.


The binomial probability distribution is an example of a discrete probability distribution. There are only two possible outcomes of each trial and the outcomes are mutually exclusive. For example, in a coin toss the outcome is either heads or tails.

The other responses are both correct definitions.


作者: 1215    时间: 2011-3-4 12:05

Which of the following statements about probability distributions is least accurate?

A)
A probability distribution is, by definition, normally distributed.
B)
In a binomial distribution each observation has only two possible outcomes that are mutually exclusive.
C)
A probability distribution includes a listing of all the possible outcomes of an experiment.


Probabilities must be zero or positive, but a probability distribution is not necessarily normally distributed. Binomial distributions are either successes or failures.


作者: 1215    时间: 2011-3-4 13:33

A probability distribution is least likely to:

A)
contain all the possible outcomes.
B)
give the probability that the distribution is realistic.
C)
have only non-negative probabilities.


The probability distribution may or may not reflect reality. But the probability distribution must list all possible outcomes, and probabilities can only have non-negative values.


作者: 1215    时间: 2011-3-4 13:33

A dealer in a casino has rolled a five on a single die three times in a row. What is the probability of her rolling another five on the next roll, assuming it is a fair die?

A)
0.167.
B)
0.001.
C)
0.200.


The probability of a value being rolled is 1/6 regardless of the previous value rolled.


作者: 1215    时间: 2011-3-4 13:37

The number of ships in the harbor is an example of what kind of variable?

A)
Indiscrete.
B)
Discrete.
C)
Continuous.


A discrete variable is one that is represented by finite units.


作者: 1215    时间: 2011-3-4 13:38

Which of the following is a discrete random variable?

A)
The realized return on a corporate bond.
B)
The number of advancing stocks in the DJIA in a day.
C)
The amount of time between two successive stock trades.


Since the DJIA consists of only 30 stocks, the answer associated with it would be a discrete random variable. Random variables measuring time, rates of return and weight will be continuous.


作者: 1215    时间: 2011-3-4 13:38

Which of the following statements about probability distributions is most accurate?

A)
A binomial distribution counts the number of successes that occur in a fixed number of independent trials that have mutually exclusive (i.e. yes or no) outcomes.
B)
A discrete uniform random variable has varying probabilities for each outcome that total to one.
C)
A continuous uniform distribution has a lower limit but no upper limit.


Binomial probability distributions give the result of a single outcome and are used to study discrete random variables where you want to know the probability that an exact event will happen. A continuous uniform distribution has both an upper and a lower limit. A discrete uniform random variable has equal probabilities for each outcome.






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