Which of the following best defines a backwardated commodities market?
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A backwardated commodities market occurs when the futures price is below the current spot price.
Which of the following best defines a contango commodities market?
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A contango commodities market occurs when the futures price is above the current spot price.
In the futures market for a variety of wheat, suppose breakfast cereal companies are the dominant market participant. What will be the most likely shape of the futures price curve?
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The dominant traders in the market are long hedgers (i.e., users of the commodity) since they purchase wheat for cereal production. Thus, they will go long futures contracts to hedge price exposure. To induce speculators to take the other side of the futures contract, they must pay a premium for the hedging benefit received. As a result, the futures price curve will be upward sloping, which would be classified as a contango market.
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