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标题: VAR quiz [打印本页]

作者: Carson    时间: 2011-7-11 19:35     标题: VAR quiz

XYZ 95% surplus at risk calculated to be $500 million for an annual horizon. The expected return on XYZ asset base (currently at $2 billion) is 5%. The plan has a surplus of $100 million. Jon uses a 5% probability level to calculate the minimum amount by which the plan will be underfunded next year.

Using Jon's 5% probability level, the minimum amount by which TXYZ plan will be underfunded next year is closest to:

A) $5 million.

B) $25 million.

C) $300 million.
作者: IAmNeil    时间: 2011-7-11 19:35

C, but I will admit I have no idea the formula.

Just went with (2,000 * 1.05 + 100 - 500) - 2000



Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at Monday, May 23, 2011 at 01:59PM by Paraguay.
作者: oneboy    时间: 2011-7-11 19:35

C, also think either too easy or there is a trick?
作者: aidebaobao    时间: 2011-7-11 19:35

C? But you're not given standard deviation?
作者: mar350    时间: 2011-7-11 19:35

I thought surplus at risk was only applied to the surplus not the whole asset base.
作者: mp3bu    时间: 2011-7-11 19:35

Yes dont you need the std dev to answer this - var requires this (STD Dev * 1.65)?
作者: Darien    时间: 2011-7-11 19:35

there is 1/4 a page in V5 about SAR (244-245)
this kind of question should not be tested,

where did you get it?
作者: susana    时间: 2011-7-11 19:35

Answer = c

$300 million

The current surplus is $100 million, and the asset base is also expected to generate $100 million ($2,000 million




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