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标题: Equity: PVGO [打印本页]

作者: Andreas42    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45     标题: Equity: PVGO

when calculate PVGO, use E/r, should we use E1 or E0? Thanks.
作者: busterbluth    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45

E1...
I had to check my formula sheet to be sure, but think of it this way. You are looking for growth. Trailing E, or E0, does not show growth - E1 does.
P0 + E1/Rce
作者: stalkey    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45

disagree.

the value of a firm = e/r plus pvgo

e/r is the value of a no growth firm.
作者: kkn006    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45

Ahh, LincolnLogs you are right. I incorrectly added E1/Rce, it should be subtracted.
So...
PVGO = P0 - E1/Rce
OR,
P0 = PVGO + E1/Rce
Which then means,
P0 = E1/Rce (if PVGO = 0)

Need to take a break...
作者: Kapie    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45

Ya there is a discrepancy there. They tell you the equation you guys are referencing where they say it must be E1, however, they then say you can use this to equate P/E, which is E0, and when you divide through by E0, the E's cancel leaving you with 1/R. So I don't think they will get you with that and if they do we can email them with our counter argument.
作者: kickthatcfa    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45

I'm disagreeing with using earnings one period ahead. You are looking to separate no growth value from the value of the company's growth opportunities.

Therefore, value of no growth plus value of growth opps equals present value of the firm. Or:

e sub 0/ req rate plus pvgo
作者: maryli    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45

LL I agree. Only thing that your logic points out is it is no growth value, so technically E0=E1. So both are right. I wouldn't waste last week focusing on this or writing post about it, oh shtt. Back to swaps.
作者: redskins44    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45

wrong. there is growth in the coming year since the firm retained some NI..(retention ratio of 0.86), which is why you need to find E1 as 2.45(1.15284)= 2.84
then it's asking what percent of the forecasted share price is attributable to PVGO (i.e., without any growth going forward compared to growth)...similar to wondering whether the firm should pay dividends or not, which is all about whether ROE is greater than cost of equity (not necessary for this question though)
作者: tarunajwani    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45

Definitely E1 brah; PVGO = P0 - E1/r
作者: tikfed    时间: 2011-7-13 15:45

exactly.

if the firm currently had no growth (100% payout ratio,) THEN Eo = E1 but that's not the case here so E1 is used.




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