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标题: Percentiles [打印本页]

作者: simeezee    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15     标题: Percentiles

hi guys, hoping someone can clarify -- I thought that to calculate percentiles, you used the formula (n+1)*(y/100) where y is the percentile eg 50 for 50th percentile etc.

however i recently saw a question that seemed to contradict this.

so, to clarify. if you have 10 numbers in ascending order, is the 50th percentile:

a) the fifth biggest number

or

b) (10+1)*(50/100) ie 5.5, or the point that's halfway between number 5 and number 6 in your list.

this is such a simple topic so i can't understand why there seem to be contradictory ways of solving it. thanks much.
作者: Micholien    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

The point halfway between number 5 and number 6 in your list.

Just the same as in sequence of 2 numbers, the middle point would neither be 1st nor 2nd number. It would be between 1st and 2nd number.
作者: spartanag07    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

I know what you're talking about and I have the same confusion-- between the formula for L(y) in the ordered list of numbers in the set and what I saw on a mock exam and the explanation.

The question I think I recall described 10 items in a list and asked for the 80th percentile and the correct answer was the 8th number, not the interpolated number you would arrive at if you used the formula. I still remain confused. It seems like common sense that if you have a set with 10 numbers the 8th number would represent the 80th percentile... but obviously that's not what the formula produces and on that mock, the interpolated answer choice was not correct.
作者: dontknow1987    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

Can you guys post the 10 values - or maybe the entire question here?
作者: Matori    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

It doesn't matter, does it? Pick 10 numbers: -3, -1, 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9. I believe it may have been on the CFAI mock exam, and I don't want to reproduce any protected content.
作者: Daniel1985    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

I am glad other people have the same issues with this!!
作者: JPSem    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

Hopefully we can resolve the issue quickly...
作者: btcapital    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

if an even # of numbers in your list - you need to find (10+1)/2 = 5.5th number

for 11 numbers => 6 ...

CP
作者: Penny-wenny    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

I am quite certain it is incorrect in the mock solution. The CFA book explains it with examples that it is (n+1)y/100 and it makes sense too. Just like optiix noted above

"Just the same as in sequence of 2 numbers, the middle point would neither be 1st nor 2nd number. It would be between 1st and 2nd number."

If we have 2 numbers: 10 and 20, the 50th percentile is neither 10 nor 20. It is 15.
作者: MythosHF    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

Can we put this one to rest with an example?

Returns for 10 years are (in percent): 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10

What is the 80th percentile? 8.8% is the 80th percentile. Yes? Using the formula above you get L(y) is 8.8, which means it is the 8th number (of the ordered set) plus .8 of the difference between the 8th and 9th numbers of the ordered set (the difference is 1, so .8 of 1 is .8)-- so 8 + .8 = 8.8%.

Correct/comment/add to the explanation. Thanks. It just seems odd that the 80th percentile isn't 8% though.
作者: MonkeyBusiness    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

someone....?
作者: JRossSter    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

L(80) = (n+1)*(y/100) = (10+1)*(80/100) = 8.8.

Since L(80) is 8.8, you'd use interpolation:

P(80) = X(8) + [L(80) - 8]*[X(9) - X(8)] = 8 + (8.8 - 8)*(9 - 8) = 8.8.

Note that in this case L(80) = P(80) by mere coincidence - not always the case.

As mentioned earlier, refer to the example on page 376 L1V1R7. Good luck remembering the formula. Haha.



Edited 1 time(s). Last edit at Wednesday, May 11, 2011 at 11:11AM by Oyster.
作者: bapswarrior    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

disiz64 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Did someone find why the answer was the 8th
> largest number (on 10) for the 80th percentile??
>
> The CFAI Mock was incorrect?


I have written to CFA institute about it and they have forwarded it to their Education Department. Should hear back sometime soon. Will let you know what they say.
作者: ftwcfa    时间: 2011-7-13 16:15

Did someone find why the answer was the 8th largest number (on 10) for the 80th percentile??

The CFAI Mock was incorrect?
作者: Benjiko    时间: 2011-7-13 16:16

disiz64 Wrote:

> Ok. Thank you.


So I heard back. The question and the answer are correct. When you have a sample from a population and you need fourth quintile of the POPULATION, you use (n+1)y/100
In case you have the sample and you need to find the fourth quintile of the SAMPLE, you use ny/100 (that's what I understand)
作者: dotamasta    时间: 2011-7-13 16:16

Sorry but I dont understand what you really mean. Can you please repost their answer? I encouter the same difficulty in figuring out why they have that answer. Thanks
作者: pogo    时间: 2011-7-13 16:16

maxmeomeo Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Sorry but I dont understand what you really mean.
> Can you please repost their answer? I encouter the
> same difficulty in figuring out why they have that
> answer. Thanks


Max it's very easy..don't sweat!..it's the difference between "sample" and "population"..pay attention! Like in other areas as well such as standard deviation also treats sample and population differently by considering n-1 for sample and n for population so the same difference is here n+1 for population and n for sample..Makes sense?
作者: dcfox83    时间: 2011-7-13 16:16

Oh ok thank you Guess im too nervous to see thing properly
作者: rkapoor    时间: 2011-7-13 16:16

So I guess we have to pay attention to the wording of the question...

If population: n+1 * y/100
If sample: n*y/100

It would of been nice if this was clearer in the material studied...




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