标题: The current phase of business cycle [打印本页] 作者: cfa10yrplan 时间: 2011-7-13 16:39 标题: The current phase of business cycle
I know this will not be tested in the exam, but I'm still curious.
Where can I get the current economic condition, such as the current phase of business cycle? Or what's the phase of business cycle in last year? No economic forecasting.
Thanks.作者: jmh530 时间: 2011-7-13 16:39
I mean which phase of business cycle we are in, 1) initial recovery 2) early expansion ..., or still in 5) recession? Everyone may have a different view. Is there some consensus view published regularly?作者: canadiananalyst 时间: 2011-7-13 16:39
I think those categories are more academic then anything else.作者: ohai 时间: 2011-7-13 16:39
early expansion, in canada atleast作者: oneboy 时间: 2011-7-13 16:39
I would agree that Canada is in an early expansion, the TSX has been on a tear lately due to commodity prices. I would still say that employment is still struggling out of the recession.作者: Iginla2011 时间: 2011-7-13 16:39
i would think it is in expansion for north ameria. look at the metal indicies. they are at all time high. maybe indication of high expected demand?--->high demand=higher expected GDP?作者: bboo 时间: 2011-7-13 16:39
confidence is low
unemployment is high
markets are up from lows
inflation is low
stimulus from low interest rates still in effect
GDP growth is low to moderate
