标题: I made a guess for 20Qns - do you think i will pass? [打印本页] 作者: parott 时间: 2011-7-13 16:57 标题: I made a guess for 20Qns - do you think i will pass?
for the AM section (the ethics is particularly ambiguous) but the rest of the questions are alright. But the pm = = I make 3 guesses for Quants - all guesses for alternative and fixed and some other numbers = so in total, I did 20 guesses (hence 20 blanks as well). Do you think I can pass?
Honestly the pm one - I cant do fixed and alternative in particular. and a bit of quants. though the rest is quite ok.
How do you guys feel?作者: bolligerallstar 时间: 2011-7-13 16:57
If you know with certainty that you got all but 20 questions right, then you definitely passed. 100/ 120 = well over 70%作者: senlinlang 时间: 2011-7-13 16:57
like arnold said at the end of Commando when asked to start up his unit again ..."noooo chance"作者: b_sea93 时间: 2011-7-13 16:57
levin, are you a yiddishicup?作者: WarrenB1 时间: 2011-7-13 16:57
I think about it like this -
20 flat out guesses - youll get 1/3 right, so well be conservative and say you only get 6 right.
I dont know about you ( i had 5-6 blind guessses, but many educated or could easily eliminate 1). Say maybe 30 of those? lets put odds of each one of those at 50% being right. that means youve gotten 29 wrong so far. Thats still a pass
I also assume that there will be questions you thought you were right on but fell for a trap. I think a good % is that 85% of the ones you felt good about youll actually get (maybe a bit conservative). So that means youd get another .15*70 10 or so wrong, putting you at 39. So i would say worst case, thats about a 67.5%, which could be a (and i would guess it is) a pass. And thats with some (i would say) agressive assumptions or "worst case scenario" type deal.
In the end though, who knows. Just gotta wait it out.
GL
