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标题: I made a guess for 20Qns - do you think i will pass? [打印本页]

作者: Beatnik    时间: 2011-7-24 04:34     标题: I made a guess for 20Qns - do you think i will pass?

for the AM section (the ethics is particularly ambiguous) but the rest of the questions are alright. But the pm = = I make 3 guesses for Quants - all guesses for alternative and fixed and some other numbers = so in total, I did 20 guesses (hence 20 blanks as well). Do you think I can pass?

Honestly the pm one - I cant do fixed and alternative in particular. and a bit of quants. though the rest is quite ok.

How do you guys feel?
作者: xilinx_altera    时间: 2011-7-24 04:39

If you know with certainty that you got all but 20 questions right, then you definitely passed. 100/ 120 = well over 70%
作者: Wendy01    时间: 2011-7-24 04:47

like arnold said at the end of Commando when asked to start up his unit again ..."noooo chance"
作者: jcfa2011    时间: 2011-7-24 04:55

I'm sure you did fine. The problem (with me) is that even if I felt like I only flat-out guessed at a handful of questions, there are plenty of other questions that I thought I knew that I got wrong...very likely by falling for one of the distracter answers.
作者: IAmNeil    时间: 2011-7-24 04:59

I think about it like this -

20 flat out guesses - youll get 1/3 right, so well be conservative and say you only get 6 right.
I dont know about you ( i had 5-6 blind guessses, but many educated or could easily eliminate 1). Say maybe 30 of those? lets put odds of each one of those at 50% being right. that means youve gotten 29 wrong so far. Thats still a pass

I also assume that there will be questions you thought you were right on but fell for a trap. I think a good % is that 85% of the ones you felt good about youll actually get (maybe a bit conservative). So that means youd get another .15*70 10 or so wrong, putting you at 39. So i would say worst case, thats about a 67.5%, which could be a (and i would guess it is) a pass. And thats with some (i would say) agressive assumptions or "worst case scenario" type deal.

In the end though, who knows. Just gotta wait it out.
GL




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