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标题: Equity Investments【Reading 49】Sample [打印本页]

作者: Gypsy    时间: 2012-3-30 10:19     标题: [2012 L1] Equity Investments【Session 13 - Reading 49】Sample

An efficient capital market:
A)
fully reflects all of the information currently available about a given security, excluding risk.
B)
fully reflects all of the information currently available about a given security, including risk.
C)
does not fully reflect all of the information currently available about a given security, including risk.



An efficient capital market fully reflects all of the information currently available about a given security, including risk.
作者: Gypsy    时间: 2012-3-30 10:20

The implication of efficient capital markets and a lack of superior analysts have led to the introduction of:
A)
balanced funds.
B)
index funds.
C)
futures options.



An index fund is designed to duplicate the composition of a specific index series or market segment. There is a strong argument suggesting that portfolio managers cannot beat the market after fees, therefore an index fund should be used to try to match the market.
作者: Gypsy    时间: 2012-3-30 10:20

In an informationally efficient market:
A)
buying and holding a broad market portfolio is the preferred investment strategy.
B)
the conditions exist for active investment strategies to achieve superior risk-adjusted returns.
C)
share prices adjust rapidly when companies announce results in line with expectations.



If financial markets are informationally efficient, active investment strategies cannot consistently achieve risk-adjusted returns superior to holding a passively managed index portfolio. In addition, a passive investment strategy has lower transactions costs than an active management strategy. Share prices should not adjust when a company announces results in line with expectations in an informationally efficient market, because the market price already reflects the expected results.
作者: Gypsy    时间: 2012-3-30 10:20

Hume Inc. announces fourth quarter earnings per share of $1.20, which is 15% higher than last year. Hume’s earnings are equal to the consensus analyst forecast for the quarter. Assuming markets are efficient, the announcement will most likely cause the price of Hume’s stock to:
A)
decrease.
B)
remain the same.
C)
increase.



An efficient capital market would price Hume’s stock based on the expectation for earnings per share. Since actual earnings equal expected earnings, the stock price should not change as a result of the announcement.
作者: Gypsy    时间: 2012-3-30 10:21

Which of the following would be inconsistent with an efficient market?
A)
Stock prices adjust rapidly to new information.
B)
Price adjustments are biased.
C)
Price changes are independent.



Market efficiency assumes that investors adjust their estimates of security prices rapidly to reflect their unbiased interpretation of the new information. New information arrives randomly and independently. Therefore, price changes are independent.
作者: Gypsy    时间: 2012-3-30 10:21

A market’s efficiency is most likely to negatively affected by:
A)
substantial analyst coverage of the exchange listed companies
B)
a high amount of trading activity.
C)
a ban on short selling.



Research supports the conclusion that short selling helps to prevent market prices from becoming overvalued, while limiting short selling has the opposite effect. More analyst coverage and more liquidity contribute to market efficiency.
作者: Gypsy    时间: 2012-3-30 10:21

An increase in which of the following factors would most likely improve a market’s efficiency?
A)
Restrictions on short selling.
B)
Number of participants.
C)
Bid-ask spreads.



As the number of market participants increases, the speed at which markets adjust to new information is likely to increase. Restrictions on short selling limit the ability of arbitrage to correct pricing anomalies. High bid-ask spreads increase transaction costs and decrease efficiency.
作者: Gypsy    时间: 2012-3-30 10:22

The measure of an asset’s value that can most likely be determined without estimation is its:
A)
intrinsic value.
B)
fundamental value.
C)
market value.



The current price of a traded asset is its market value. An asset’s intrinsic or fundamental value is the price a rational investor with complete information about the asset would pay for it.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:23

A stock is said to be undervalued if its market price is:
A)
greater than its intrinsic value.
B)
less than its intrinsic value.
C)
less than its book value.



A security with a market price less than its intrinsic value is undervalued.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:24

Which of the following is NOT an assumption behind efficient capital markets?
A)
Market participants correctly adjust prices to reflect new information.
B)
Return expectations implicitly include risk.
C)
New information occurs randomly, and the timing of announcements is independent of one another.



The set of assumptions that imply an efficient capital market includes:
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:24

Which of the following statements on the forms of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is least accurate?
A)
The semi-strong form EMH addresses market and non-market public information.
B)
The strong-form EMH assumes perfect markets.
C)
The weak-form EMH states that stock prices reflect current public market information and expectations.



The weak-form EMH assumes the price of a security reflects all currently available historical information. Thus, the past price and volume of trading has no relationship with the future, hence technical analysis is not useful in achieving superior returns.
The other statements are true. The strong-form EMH states that stock prices reflect all types of information: market, non-public market, and private. No group has monopolistic access to relevant information; thus no group can achieve excess returns. For these assumptions to hold, the strong-form assumes perfect markets – information is free and available to all.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:24

The statement, "Stock prices fully reflect all information from public and private sources," can be attributed to which form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)?
A)
Semistrong-form EMH.
B)
Weak-form EMH.
C)
Strong-form EMH.



This is the definition of the strong-form EMH. Private sources include insider information, such as persons holding monopolistic access to information relevant to the formation of prices.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:25

The strong-form efficient market hypothesis (EMH) asserts that stock prices fully reflect which of the following types of information?
A)
Public and private.
B)
Public, private, and future.
C)
Market.



The strong-form EMH assumes that stock prices fully reflect all information from public and private sources.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:25

The semi-strong form of efficient market hypothesis (EMH) asserts that:
A)
all public information is already reflected in security prices.
B)
both public and private information is already incorporated into security prices.
C)
past and future prices exhibit little or no relationship to another.



Semi-strong EMH states that publicly available information cannot be used to consistently beat the market performance.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:26

Which of the following statements about market efficiency is least accurate?
A)
The weak-form EMH suggests that fundamental analysis will not provide excess returns while the semi-strong form suggests that technical analysis cannot achieve excess returns.
B)
The strong-form EMH assumes cost free availability of all information, both public and private.
C)
The semi-strong form EMH addresses market and non-market public information.


The weak-form EMH suggests that technical analysis will not provide excess returns while the semi-strong form suggests that fundamental analysis cannot achieve excess returns. The weak-form EMH assumes the price of a security reflects all currently available historical information. Thus, the past price and volume of trading has no relationship with the future, hence technical analysis is not useful in achieving superior returns.
The other choices are correct. The strong-form EMH states that stock prices reflect all types of information: market, non-public market, and private. No group has monopolistic access to relevant information; thus no group can achieve excess returns. For these assumptions to hold, the strong-form assumes perfect markets – information is free and available to all.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:26

Which of the following is least likely an assumption behind the semistrong-form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)?
A)
The timing of news announcements are independent of each other.
B)
All information is cost-free and available to everyone at the same time.
C)
A large number of profit-maximizing participants.



The strong-form EMH assumes all information, both public and private, is cost-free and available to all investors at the same time.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:26

Which of the following forms of the EMH assumes that no group of investors has monopolistic access to relevant information?
A)
Strong-form.
B)
Both weak and semistrong form.
C)
Weak-form.



The strong-form EMH assumes that stock prices fully reflect all information from public and private sources. In addition, no group of investors has monopolistic access to information relevant to the formation of prices.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:27

The semi-strong form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) asserts that stock prices:
A)
fully reflect all historical price information.
B)
fully reflect all relevant information including insider information.
C)
fully reflect all publicly available information.



The semi-strong form of the EMH asserts that security prices fully reflect all publicly available information. This would include all historical information. The weak form relates to historical information only. The strong form relates to public and private information.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:27

Which of the following forms of the EMH assumes that no group of investors has monopolistic access to relevant information?
A)
Weak-form.
B)
Both weak and semistrong form.
C)
Strong-form.



According to the strong-form EMH, security prices reflect all information, which includes the privately available (monopolistic) information.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:27

If the efficient markets hypothesis is true, portfolio managers should do all of the following EXCEPT:
A)
Minimize transaction costs.
B)
Spend more time working on security selection.
C)
Work more with clients to better quantify their risk preferences.



In an efficient market all stocks are properly priced and reflect all publicly available information. Therefore, individual selection of stocks is not important the only thing that is relevant is the portfolio’s beta.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:28

Which of the following statements concerning market efficiency is least accurate?
A)
Market efficiency assumes that individual market participants correctly estimate asset prices.
B)
If weak-form market efficiency holds, technical analysis cannot be used to earn abnormal returns over the long-run.
C)
Tests of the semi-strong form of the EMH require that security returns be risk-adjusted using a market model.



Market efficiency does not assume that individual market participants correctly estimate asset prices, but does assume that their estimates are unbiased. That is, some agents will over-estimate and some will under-estimate, but they will be correct, on average.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:28

Under the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), the major effort of the portfolio manager should be to:
A)
achieve complete diversification of the portfolio.
B)
minimize systematic risk in the portfolio.
C)
follow a strict buy and hold strategy.



In an efficient market, portfolio managers must create and maintain the appropriate mix of assets to meet their client’s needs. The portfolio should be diversified to eliminate unsystematic risk. The appropriate systematic risk will depend on the clients risk tolerance and return requirement. Over time the needs of the client and environment will justify changes to the portfolio. The manager should also try to minimize transaction costs and at least try to match the performance of a benchmark.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:28

In a perfectly efficient market, portfolio managers should do all of the following EXCEPT:
A)
diversify to eliminate systematic risk.
B)
monitor their client's needs and circumstances.
C)
quantify their risk and return needs within the bounds of the client's liquidity, income, time horizon, legal, and regulatory constraints.



Portfolio managers cannot eliminate systematic risk (i.e., market risk) thru the use of diversification. Portfolio managers should try to eliminate unsystematic portfolio risk.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:29

Which of the following statements least likely describes the role of a portfolio manager in perfectly efficient markets? Portfolio managers should:
A)
construct a portfolio that includes financial and real assets.
B)
quantify client's risk tolerance, communicate portfolio policies and strategies, and maintain a strict buy and hold policy avoiding any changes in the portfolio to minimize transaction costs.
C)
construct diversified portfolios that include international securities to eliminate unsystematic risk.



A portfolio manager should quantify each client's risk tolerance and communicate portfolio policies and strategies. However, portfolio managers should monitor client's needs and changing circumstances and make appropriate changes to the portfolio. Adhering to a strict buy and hold policy would not be in the client's best interest. Portfolios need to be rebalanced and changed to meet client’s changing needs.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:29

Which of the following is a limitation to fully efficient markets?
A)
The gains to be earned by information trading can be less than the transaction costs the trading would entail.
B)
There are no limitations to fully efficient markets because the trading actions of fundamental and technical analysts are continuously keeping prices at their intrinsic value.
C)
Information is always quickly disseminated and fully embedded in a security’s prices.



Market prices that are not precisely efficient can persist if the gains to be made by information trading are less than the transaction costs such trading would entail.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:30

David Farrington is an analyst at Farrington Capital Management. He is aware that many people believe that the capital markets are fully efficient. However, he is not convinced and would like to disprove this claim. Which of the following statements would support Farrington in his effort to demonstrate the limitations to fully efficient markets?
A)
Stock prices adjust to their new efficient levels within hours of the release of new information.
B)
Technical analysis has been rendered useless by many academics who have shown that analyzing market trends, past volume and trading data will not lead to abnormal returns.
C)
Processing new information entails costs and takes at least some time, so security prices are not always immediately affected.



If market prices are efficient there are no returns to the time and effort spent on fundamental analysis. But if no time and effort is spent on fundamental analysis there is no process for making market prices efficient. To resolve this apparent conundrum one can look to the time lag between the release of new value-relevant information and the adjustment of market prices to their new efficient levels. Processing new information entails costs and takes at least some time, which is a limitation of fully efficient markets.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:30

The opportunity to take advantage of the downward pressure on stock prices that result from end-of-the-year tax selling is known as the:
A)
end-of-the-year effect.
B)
January anomaly.
C)
end-of-the-year anomaly.



The January Anomaly is most likely the result of tax induced trading at year end. An investor can profit by buying stocks in December and selling them during the first week in January.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:30

Which of the following would provide evidence against the semistrong form of the efficient market theory?
A)
Low P/E stocks tend to have positive abnormal returns over the long run.
B)
Trend analysis is worthless in determining stock prices.
C)
All investors have learned to exploit signals related to future performance.



P/E information is publicly available information and therefore this test relates to the semistrong-form EMH. Trend analysis is based on historical information and therefore relates to the weak-form EMH. In an efficient market one would expect 50% of pension fund managers to do better than average and 50% of pension fund managers to do worse than average. If all investors exploit the same information no excess returns are possible.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:31

Which of the following statements best describes the overreaction effect?
A)
High returns over a one-year period are followed by high returns over the following year.
B)
Low returns over a three-year period are followed by high returns over the following three years.
C)
High returns over a one-year period are followed by low returns over the following three years.



The overreaction effect refers to stocks with poor returns over three to five-year periods that had higher subsequent performance than stocks with high returns in the prior period. The result is attributed to overreaction in stock prices that reverses over longer periods of time. Stocks with high previous short-term returns that have high subsequent returns show a momentum effect.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:31

If the momentum effect persists over time, it would provide evidence against which of the following forms of market efficiency?
A)
Weak form only.
B)
Semistrong form only.
C)
Both weak form and semistrong form.



The momentum effect suggests it is possible to earn abnormal returns using market data. All three forms of market efficiency (weak form, semistrong form, and strong form) assume that market prices fully reflect market data.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:31

An investor who is more risk averse with respect to potential negative outcomes than potential positive outcomes most likely exhibits:
A)
gambler’s fallacy.
B)
mental accounting.
C)
loss aversion.



Loss aversion is exhibited by an investor who dislikes a loss more than he likes an equal gain. That is, the investor’s risk preferences are asymmetric. Gambler’s fallacy is the belief that recent past outcomes affect the probability of future outcomes. Mental accounting refers to mentally classifying investments in separate accounts rather than considering them from a portfolio perspective.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:32

Investor overreaction that has been documented in securities markets is most likely attributable to investors exhibiting:
A)
risk aversion.
B)
loss aversion.
C)
conservatism.



Loss aversion refers to the tendency for investors to dislike downside risks more than upside risks creating asymmetrical risk preferences. This dislike of losses may be a cause of investor overreaction. The standard economic notion of risk aversion assumes symmetric risk preferences. Conservatism is the behavioral bias whereby investors react slowly to new information and is unlikely to cause overreaction.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:32

In behavioral finance theory, how is loss aversion most accurately defined? For gains and losses of equal amounts, investors:
A)
dislike losses more than they like gains.
B)
like gains more than they dislike losses.
C)
dislike for losses and like for gains are proportionate.



Behavioral finance proposes that investors are loss averse. Loss aversion means investors dislike losses more than they like gains of the same amount.
作者: hinsafdar    时间: 2012-3-30 10:32

The idea that uninformed traders, when faced with unclear information, observe the actions of informed traders to make decisions, is referred to as:
A)
information cascades.
B)
herding behavior.
C)
narrow framing.



“Information cascades” refers to uninformed traders watching the actions of informed traders when making investment decisions. Herding behavior is when trading occurs in clusters, not necessarily driven by information. Narrow framing refers to investors viewing events in isolation.




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