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标题: Any guess what will the MPS be after the brutal AM and breez [打印本页]

作者: slackeranalyst    时间: 2013-8-9 09:48     标题: Any guess what will the MPS be after the brutal AM and breez

I was freeked out after leaving the AM session but got a positive feeling for PM. Do you guys have any idea of what the MPS could be? If its 70% im dead!
作者: stockjaguar    时间: 2013-8-9 09:48

just pray for the best
answer in 10 weeks
作者: brain_wash_your    时间: 2013-8-9 09:48

Let me make a guess here.
I make an assumption that the average of top 1% students lost 8-10 points in the AM and lost 1 question in PM.
Thus, AM = 170/180 =94.4%
PM = 177/180 = 98.33%
Total would be 347/360 = 96.4%, a 70 % of this mark would be the MPS , so around 67.5%. This score is consistent to some of the analysis someone did here.
Anyway, just for fun~
作者: grharmeyer    时间: 2013-8-9 09:48

oh shit, MPS of 67.5% will fuck my chances. I was hoping for 63-64%.
Neways if for last 2 years MPS for L2 was 62-65% approx. then why is L3 MPS so high? ne specific reason?
作者: NakedPuts00    时间: 2013-8-9 09:48

67.5% is way too high. 63%-65% would be fairer for this one. Its kind of discouraging. You spend tons of hours mastering the LOS and you cant even answer the questions, not because you did not study enough but just coz you ran out of time.
作者: Carson    时间: 2013-8-9 09:49

^ Amen brother and I hope I get 1% more than whatever CFAI decides to set MPS to.
作者: iteracom    时间: 2013-8-9 09:49

^ and i get 0.1% more thn you :p
作者: eoin    时间: 2013-8-9 09:49

^ and i get 0.1% more thn you :p
作者: Sunshine4ever    时间: 2013-8-9 09:49

it will not be lower than 65% if 50% of the people pass the exam.
作者: giorgio10    时间: 2013-8-9 09:49

Is MPS just the mimum passing score?
作者: former    时间: 2013-8-9 09:49

There is absolutely no way the MPS is a 67. You can’t base the MPS off of what you see on AF. There is also no way the top 1% scored a 94. Someone spent a lot of time analyzing L3 results from AFers a few years ago. Using various approaches to the 40/60/80 rule they found the MPS to be in the 62-63 range. I have no doubt it will be much different this year.
作者: tikfed    时间: 2013-8-9 09:49

Also, 59/60 in the PM for 1% of the candidate population!?? You’ve lost it man. The most prepared candidates on AF were scoring 50-55/60 for the 13 mock and that was really high compared to us mere mortals.
作者: kickthatcfa    时间: 2013-8-9 09:49

trying to predict MPS and your own score is hopeless and a waste of time.
forget about the exam - it is over. you will never know your exact score or the MPS, so stop with the nonsense
作者: ruchita    时间: 2013-8-9 09:50

The MPS should be 0.1% lower than my actual score.
作者: torontoanalyst    时间: 2013-8-9 09:50

Am I the only one that vowed not to come on AF after the exam until August, yet has been logging in 2-3 times a day since the exam… lol
作者: krause2    时间: 2013-8-9 09:50

Haha, me too.
I miss the countdown on top.
作者: mp3bu    时间: 2013-8-9 09:50

what about me?

作者: badonkus    时间: 2013-8-9 09:50

I would guess between 63 to 67. Mid of 60s.
作者: Chuckrox    时间: 2013-8-9 09:50

Would you rather have more cases worth less minutes or vice versa?  I think looking at the table of contents and seeing 15 cases can put one into a hurry-up mode and may be counterproductive.  But there may also be a benefit to having more 3 point questions asked as opposed to everything being worth 9-12 points.
作者: luda002    时间: 2013-8-9 09:51

Is there some estimate of the relationship between  MPS  and the pass rate available?
i.e. if we have 62% MPS , what percentage of candidates get through?
Is there also some manipulation of the percentage  of passes ?
Is percentage dominant and MPS determined by the percentage of passes?
作者: economicz    时间: 2013-8-9 09:51

My 80/60/40 score last year was 66. My guess is that the MPS was a few points lower.
作者: Analyze_This    时间: 2013-8-9 09:51

based on what i’ve seen, i would guess a MPS around 63%
作者: bodhisattva    时间: 2013-8-9 09:51

Awesome guesses, but…
From the FAQ:
I received at least 50% on almost all topics on my results score matrix, but I still did not pass. How can that happen?
Candidates should not attempt to interpret an overall passing or failing score from the results matrix information. The minimum passing score for the exam is determined by many factors, and is not a predetermined or specific percentage of the points either for individual topic areas or for the entire exam. Specifically, candidates should not necessarily interpret scores between 50% and 70% as passing.




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