Swanand

At the end of the day you're still guessing what people scored in some of the topics and making several large assumptions. The larger the weighting, i.e. FRA & Equities, the more you end up guessing. Also, even though you are just sampling the Band 10 fails even that group has its own score distribution. Some of the Band 10s were presumably one question away from passing while others were maybe 4 or 5.

I can't imagine that the CFAI would set the bar that low. Plus, we really don't know how much of an impact the Ethics adjustments has on passing or failing. The CFAI will never divulge the secrets of the MPS so it's not really worth wasting time over it.