- UID
- 223328
- 帖子
- 372
- 主题
- 108
- 注册时间
- 2011-7-11
- 最后登录
- 2013-8-13
|
13#
发表于 2012-3-31 13:13
| 只看该作者
Michael Ballmer is an equity analyst with New Horizon Research. The firm has historically relied on dividend and residual income valuation models to value equity, but the firm’s director of research, Doug Leads, has decided that the firm needs to incorporate free cash flow valuations into its practices. Therefore, Leads decides to send Ballmer to a seminar on free cash flow valuation.
Upon his return from the convention, Ballmer is excited to share his newfound knowledge with his co-workers. Ballmer is asked to give a debriefing to New Horizon’s team of equity analysts, where he makes the following statements:
Statement 1: | Free cash flow to the firm is the amount of the firm's cash flow that is free for the firm to use in making investments after cash operating expenses have been covered. | Statement 2: | Free cash flow to equity, then, is the amount of the firm’s cash flow that is free for equity holders after covering cash operating expenses, working capital and fixed capital investments, interest principal payments to bondholders, and required divided payments. | Statement 3: | One of the benefits of free cash flow valuation is that the value of the firm and the value of equity can be found by discounting free cash flow to the firm and free cash flow to equity, respectively, by the WACC. |
As part of his presentation, Ballmer includes a short example of how to calculate free cash flow to equity. The figures from his example are included below.
Figure 1: Example Balance Sheet | | 20X2 | 20X1 | Cash | $632 | $245 | Accounts receivable | $208 | $105 | Inventory | $8,249 | $8,209 | Current assets | $9,089 | $8,559 | Gross PPE | $22,499 | $22,722 | Accumulated depreciation | ($3,251) | ($2,875) | Total assets | $28,337 | $28,406 | | | | Accounts payable | $4,864 | $4,543 | Short-term debt | $2,491 | $2,996 | Current liabilities | $7,355 | $7,539 | Long-term debt | $4,528 | $5,039 | Common stock | $729 | $735 | Retained earnings | $15,725 | $15,093 | Total liabilities and owner's equity | $28,337 | $28,406 |
Figure 2: Example Cash Flow From Operations | | 20X2 | 20X1 | Net income | $1,783 | $2,195 | Depreciation | $1,733 | $1,667 | WCInv | ($178) | $357 | Cash flow from operations | $3,694 | $4,219 |
After discussing the calculation of free cash flow to the firm and free cash flow to equity from historical information, Ballmer proceeds to explain the major approaches for forecasting free cash flow. He focuses his discussion on forecasting the components of free cash flow as this method is more flexible. During his presentation, several of the analysts notice that the formula for forecasting free cash flow to equity does not include net borrowing. They bring this to Ballmer’s attention, and he states that he will look into the formula and send out an updated presentation after the meeting.
A week after the meeting, Jonathan Hodges approached Ballmer regarding two issues he had while applying free cash flow based valuations. The first issue that Hodges had was that he calculated the equity value of a firm using both free cash flow to equity based and dividend-based valuations and arrived at different values. The second issue that Hodges came across was the effect of a change in a firm’s target leverage on FCFE. One of the firms that Hodges was analyzing may reduce leverage, and Hodges needs to know if this will affect his valuation.Regarding statements 1 and 2, are Ballmer’s interpretations of free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) and free cash flow to equity (FCFE) CORRECT? A)
| No, neither interpretation is correct. |
| B)
| Yes, both interpretations are correct. |
| C)
| No, only one interpretation is correct. |
|
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is the cash flows that are free to investors after cash operating expenses (including taxes but excluding interest expense), working capital investments, and fixed capital investments have been made. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) is FCFF less interest payments to bondholders and net borrowing from bondholders. (Study Session 12, LOS 40.a)
Is Ballmer’s third statement regarding the computation of firm value and equity value CORRECT? A)
| No, free cash flow to equity should be discounted at the required return on equity. |
| | C)
| No, both free cash flow to the firm and free cash flow to equity should be discounted at the required rate of return on equity. |
|
The value of a firm is the expected future free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) discounted at the firm’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC). The value of the firm’s equity is the expected future free cash flow to equity discounted at the required return on equity. (Study Session 12, LOS 40.d)
Based on figures 1 and 2, the 20X2 free cash flow to equity (FCFE) for Ballmer’s example firm is:
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) can be computed as: FCFE = CFO − FCInv + net borrowing
Based on the figures included in the example, fixed capital investment (FCInv) is –$223 (= $22,499 − $22,722) and net borrowing is –$1,016 (= $2,491 + $4,528 − $2,996 − $5,039).
FCFE is therefore: FCFE = $3,694 + $223 − $1,016 = $2,901. (Study Session 12, LOS 40.d)
Which of the following statements regarding forecasting FCFE using the components of free cash flow method and net borrowing is most accurate? A)
| The target debt-to-asset ratio accounts for the financing of new investment in fixed capital and working capital. |
| B)
| Investment in fixed capital and net borrowing are assumed to offset each other. |
| C)
| Net income already accounts for interest expense; therefore, net borrowing is not needed. |
|
When forecasting FCFE, it is common to assume that a firm will maintain a target debt-to-asset ratio for new investments in fixed capital and working capital. Based on this assumption, the formula for forecasting FCFE is:FCFE = NI − [(1 − DR) × (FCInv − Dep)] − [(1 − DR) × WCInv]
By multiplying the fixed capital and working capital investments by one minus the target debt-to-asset ratio, you are left with the investment amount less the amount financed by debt, which is the net borrowing amount. Therefore, this formula accounts for net borrowing through the target debt-to-asset ratio. (Study Session 12, LOS 40.e)
Should dividend-based and free cash flow from equity (FCFE) based valuations result in different equity values for a firm? A)
| No, both models should result in the same value. |
| B)
| Yes, dividend-based valuations would be higher for firms with large, consistent dividends. |
| C)
| Yes, the free cash flow from equity valuation would be higher if there were a premium associated with control of the firm. |
|
The ownership perspectives of dividend-based and FCFE based valuations are different. Dividend-based valuations take the perspective of minority shareholders, while FCFE based valuations take the perspective of an acquirer who will assume a controlling position in the firm. If investors were willing to pay a premium for a controlling position in the firm, then the equity value computed under the FCFE approach would be higher. (Study Session 12, LOS 40.b)
Which of the following statements regarding the effect a decrease in leverage has on a firm’s free cash flow from equity (FCFE) is most accurate? A)
| FCFE is unaffected by changes in leverage. |
| B)
| Current year FCFE increases, but future FCFE will be reduced. |
| C)
| Current year FCFE decreases, but future FCFE will be increased. |
|
Changes in leverage do have a small effect on FCFE. A decrease in leverage will cause the current year FCFE to decrease through the repayment of debt. Future FCFE will be increased because interest expense will be lower. (Study Session 12, LOS 40.g) |
|