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发表于 2012-3-30 10:37
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In a recent lecture at a seminar titled “Dividends – Do They Really Matter?”, Matthew Janowski, CFA, made the following two statements regarding the information content in dividend policy changes across countries:
Statement 1: In the U.S., investors infer that small changes in dividends do not send a major signal about a company’s future prospects to existing and potential shareholders.
Statement 2: In Asian countries such as Japan, investors are unlikely to assume that even a large change in dividend policy signals anything about a company’s future prospect.
With respect to Janowski's statements:
The information content in dividend policy changes is viewed differently across countries. In the U.S., investors infer that even small changes in a dividend send a major signal about a company’s future prospects. Thus, Statement 1 is incorrect. However, in Asian countries such as Japan, investors are less likely to assume that even a large change in dividend policy signals anything about a company’s future prospect. As a result, Asian companies are freer to raise and lower their dividends as circumstances change without concerns over how investor reactions may affect the stock price. Therefore, Statement 2 is correct. |
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