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发表于 2013-4-22 14:55
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janakisri wrote:
I think the key here is that 2008 q says salary and expense rise at the rate of inflation .
But EOC #13 says salary growth offsets living expense growth .
offset is a bigger deal while growing linearly may not offset . For example if living expense is 100k and salary is 80k then gap is 20k in the beginning. If both go up by 5% ( i.e. no offset ) then the gap between living and salary will go up by 5% , so that the portfolio will begin to erode. So we must calculate a nominal rate of return as the current rate + 5% ( being inflation ) . The portfolio has to be the offset .
sorry to bring this back from the dead when we all thought it was resolved, but i just did the 2008 question today.
in 2008, the expenses = salary. it says “salaries just cover their living expenses”. so there is no gap. if expenses were 120K and salary was 119K, then fine, the gap increases each year. but theyre the same. so even in 300 years, they’ll both be equal if both grown at the same inflation rate.
i think the real key is that the maclin case does not desire to grow the portfolio at the inflation rate (no mention of preservation made, no inflation rate given). DO NOT ADD INFLATION.
the 2008 case part I explicitly says they want to maintain the portfolio value in real terms, and it is even listed in the formulation of the objective. ADD INFLATION.
in the 2008 case, in the second part, you dont add inflation. they have no real wealth preservation objectives. in that new paragraph, no mention is made of wealth preservation, and it is not included in the new formulation of the return objective. to me, this meant that real value does not need to be preserved. just get to a desired terminal value, like the maclin case. DO NOT ADD INFLATION.
in the 2007 case, they explicitly say they want to increase the portfolio with inflation. so you need one portion of your return to cover expenses and one portion to cover real welth preservation of the asset base. ADD INFLATION.
if this is correct (please correct me if u disagree), then i think there is something off with the way CFAI explains this in the answer key. in the maclin case and in 2008 part 2, they say that salary and expenses just offset. im not sure i understand this explanation. both salary and expenses offset in the 2008 question part 1, yet we still added inflation there. so to me, the key is wealth preservation vs. reaching a terminal value, not salary and expenses offsetting. |
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