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Reading 7: Statistical Concepts and Market Returns - LOS f

13

Annual Returns on ABC Mutual Fund

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

11.0%

12.5%

8.0%

9.0%

13.0%

7.0%

15.0%

2.0%

-16.5%

11.0%

If the risk-free rate was 4.0 percent during the period 1991-2000, what is the Sharpe ratio for ABC Mutual Fund for the period 1991-2000?

A)   0.52.

B)   0.35.

C)   0.68.

D)   1.12.

14

Annual Returns on ABC Mutual Fund

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

11.0%

12.5%

8.0%

9.0%

13.0%

7.0%

15.0%

2.0%

-16.5%

11.0%

What is the arithmetic mean return and the geometric mean return for ABC Mutual Fund for the period 1991-2000?

 

Arithmetic Mean

Geometric Mean

 

A)            7.2%                        5.6%

B)            28.2%                      7.4%

C)            8.2%                        6.8%

D)            7.2%                        6.8%

15Assuming a mean of 7.2 percent, what is the sample standard deviation of the returns for ABC Mutual Fund for the period 1991-2000?

A)   7.8%.

B)   9.8%.

C)   10.2%.

D)   9.1%.

16There is a 40% chance that an investment will earn 10%, a 40% chance that the investment will earn 12.5%, and a 20% chance that the investment will earn 30%. What is the mean expected return and the standard deviation of expected returns?

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

A)   15.0%             5.75%

B)   17.5%             5.75%

C)    17.5%           7.58%

D)       15.0%         7.58%

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答案和详解如下:

13

Annual Returns on ABC Mutual Fund

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

11.0%

12.5%

8.0%

9.0%

13.0%

7.0%

15.0%

2.0%

-16.5%

11.0%

If the risk-free rate was 4.0 percent during the period 1991-2000, what is the Sharpe ratio for ABC Mutual Fund for the period 1991-2000?

A)   0.52.

B)   0.35.

C)   0.68.

D)   1.12.

The correct answer was B)

 

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

 

Annual return

11.0%

12.5%

8.0%

9.0%

13.0%

7.0%

15.0%

2.0%

-16.5%

11.0%

Mean = 7.2

X - mean

3.8

5.3

0.8

1.8

5.8

-0.2

7.8

-5.2

-23.7

3.8

 

(X - mean)2

14.44

28.09

0.64

3.24

33.64

0.04

60.84

27.04

561.69

14.44

Sum = 744.10

Variance = (X - mean)2/(n - 1) = 744.10/9 = 82.68

Standard deviation = (82.68)1/2 = 9.1

Sharpe Ratio = (mean return – risk-free rate) / standard deviation = (7.2 – 4) / 9.1 = 0.35

14

Annual Returns on ABC Mutual Fund

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

11.0%

12.5%

8.0%

9.0%

13.0%

7.0%

15.0%

2.0%

-16.5%

11.0%

What is the arithmetic mean return and the geometric mean return for ABC Mutual Fund for the period 1991-2000?

 

Arithmetic Mean

Geometric Mean

 

A)            7.2%                        5.6%

B)            28.2%                      7.4%

C)            8.2%                        6.8%

D)            7.2%                        6.8%

The correct answer was D)

arithmetic mean = (11+12.5+8+9+13+7+15+2-16.5+11)/10 = 7.20

geometric mean = (1.11 × 1.125 × 1.08×1.09 × 1.13 × 1.07 × 1.15 × 1.02 × 0.835 × 1.11)1/10 – 1

= (1.932)0.10 – 1 = 1.068-1 = 0.068 or 6.8%

15Assuming a mean of 7.2 percent, what is the sample standard deviation of the returns for ABC Mutual Fund for the period 1991-2000?

A)   7.8%.

B)   9.8%.

C)   10.2%.

D)   9.1%.

The correct answer was D)

Standard deviation = [ i (xi- X)2 / (n -1)]1/2

= (744.10 / 9) = (82.68) = 9.1%

16There is a 40% chance that an investment will earn 10%, a 40% chance that the investment will earn 12.5%, and a 20% chance that the investment will earn 30%. What is the mean expected return and the standard deviation of expected returns?

Mean

Standard Deviation

 

A)   15.0%             5.75%

B)   17.5%             5.75%

C)    17.5%           7.58%

D)       15.0%         7.58%

The correct answer was D)

mean = (0.4)(10) + (0.4)(12.5) + (0.2)(30) = 15%

var = (0.4)(10 - 15)2 + (0.4)(12.5 - 15)2 + (0.2)(30 - 15)2 = 57.5

Standard deviation = 57.5 = 7.58

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