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Reading 8: Probability Concepts - LOS a ~ Q1-5

Q1. There is a 40% chance that the economy will be good next year and a 60% chance that it will be bad. If the economy is good, there is a 50 percent chance of a bull market, a 30% chance of a normal market, and a 20% chance of a bear market. If the economy is bad, there is a 20% chance of a bull market, a 30% chance of a normal market, and a 50% chance of a bear market.

What is the joint probability of a good economy and a bull market?

A)   50%.

B)   20%.

C)   12%.

Q2. What is the probability of a bull market next year?

A)   32%.

B)   20%.

C)   50%.

Q3. For a stock, which of the following is least likely a random variable? Its:

A)   stock symbol.

B)   current ratio.

C)   most recent closing price.

Q4. If two events are mutually exclusive, the probability that they both will occur at the same time is:

A)   0.00.

B)   0.50.

C)   Cannot be determined from the information given.

Q5. Which of the following statements about probability is most accurate?

A)   An outcome is the calculated probability of an event.

B)   A conditional probability is the probability that two or more events will happen concurrently.

C)   An event is a set of one or more possible values of a random variable.

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