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- 2011-7-11
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2#
发表于 2011-7-11 19:23
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from my notes:
i. Broad interpretation: can be interpreted as ‘whether you buy a 1 year bond, or a 10 year bond and sell it in a year, you’ll get the same return’. The error in this assumption is that selling the 10 year bond exposes you to price risk for that 10 year bond (if interest rates rise, you won’t get as much for it come sell time)
ii. Local expectations interpretation: this one takes into account that price risk exists, but recognizes that if everything goes the way things are planned (with respect to forward rates) then it shouldn’t matter what maturity you sign up for in your investment purchase, you will realize the same yield.
so the difference I see is that in local expectations theory, you acknowledge price risk, but in the broad interpretation, you don't. |
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