LOS c, (Part 2): Calculate and interpret the value of a common stock using the dividend discount model (DDM).
An analyst projects the following pro forma financial results for Magic Holdings, Inc., in the next year:
- Sales of $1,000,000
- Earnings of $200,000
- Total assets of $750,000
- Equity of $500,000
- Dividend payout ratio of 62.5%
- Shares outstanding of 50,000
- Risk free interest rate of 7.5%
- Expected market return of 13.0%
- Stock Beta at 1.8
If the analyst assumes Magic Holdings, Inc. will produce a constant rate of dividend growth, the value of the stock is closest to:
Infinite period DDM: P0 = D1 / (ke – g)
D1 |
= (Earnings × Payout ratio) / average number of shares outstanding |
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= ($200,000 × 0.625) / 50,000 = $2.50. |
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ke |
= risk free rate + [beta × (expected market return – risk free rate)] |
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ke |
= 7.5% + [1.8 × (13.0% - 7.5%)] = 17.4%. |
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g |
= (retention rate × ROE) |
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Retention = (1 – Payout) = 1 – 0.625 = 0.375. |
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ROE = net income/equity |
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= 200,000/500,000 = 0.4 |
g |
= 0.375 × 0.4 = 0.15. |
P0 = D1 / (ke – g) = $2.50 / (0.174 - 0.15) = 104.17. |