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发表于 2013-4-8 14:18
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I would be surprised if that shows up on the exam…thats a pretty granular bond investment strategy. but, here goes…
The bottom line answer is that roll return is a strategy to pick up relatively quick capital appreciation from a bond investment.
In cash fixed income markets, investors buy spread products (Agencies, Corporates, etc…) priced off of a benchmark rate, i.e. a 2,5,10, or 30 year treasury bond. A 15 year bond will be priced off of a 30yr on the run treasury. However, you may be able to find an 11 or 12 year bond that is priced off the 30 year treasury but will “roll” down the yield curve and start being priced off of a 10 year treasury.
During periods (like now) when the treasury curve is steep, or positively sloped, an investor can find opportunities to generate what is known as roll return.
If a 10 year treasury yields 3.75%, and a 30 year treasury yields 5.0%, there is 1.25% between the 10 year and 30 year treasury. That is the basis of your opportunity for roll return.
For example, assume JP Morgan bonds trade at 300 bps over its respective benchmark rate across the treasury curve (300 over the 2,5,10, and 30 year treasury). The 10 year JP Morgan Bond would therefore trade at a 6.75% yield and a 15 year JP Morgan Bond would trade at a 8% yield (it is priced off of the 30 year bond because there is no on the run benchmark between 10 and 30 year treasuries).
However, one can find opportunities to buy an 11 - 12 year JP Morgan bond in the secondary market that is still priced off of the 30 year treasury bond.
If you believe the treasury curve will stay steep for some time (for the sake of this example just assume the curve stays constant for your holding period), you can buy the 11-12 year JP Morgan bond at an 8% yield, and during your holding period the JP Morgan bond will “reprice” in the market, going from a 8% yield to a 6.75% yield just because it will start being priced over the 10 year benchmark. This will give you capital appreciation even if the credit spread remains at 300 bps over the benchmark rate. |
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