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3#
发表于 2013-4-2 14:54
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Trying to identify a Liability mimicking portfolio… what numbers - – at the end they arrive at 85% nominal bonds, 5% real bonds and 10% equities is the right mix for the liability mimicking portfolio.
Steps there:
1. Determine factors involved.
Nominal Risk free rate = by product of both real rate of return, expected inflation and inflation risk premium. These risk premia can be derived from historical data, growth rate is derived from long term relationship between economy and stock market.
2. Develop a correlation matrix
includes equity premium, real bond premium, nominal bond premium, real rate, inflation and growth rates.
3. Develop a sensitivity matrix
degree to which assets and liabs move in response to movements in the risk factors.
4. estimate liability noise
noise is less substantial for accrued benefits, hence easier to hedge, than any noise associated with future wage liabilities.
5. assess results and create portfolio
likely results:
accrued benefits - will be highly correlated with real and nominal bonds.
future wage liability: highly correlated with equity. |
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