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[2009] Session 15 - Reading 61: Risks Associated with Investing in Bonds- LO

Q7. A portfolio manager anticipates a major increase in market interest rates. Which trading strategy would be most likely to generate above average returns in a bond investment? Purchasing: fficeffice" />

A)   short maturity bonds with high coupon rates.

B)   bonds that will increase the average duration of the investment portfolio.

C)   long maturity bonds with low coupon rates.

Correct answer is A)

The price volatility of non-callable bonds is inversely related to the level of market yields. As yields increase, bond prices fall, and the price curve gets flatter. Bond price sensitivity is lowest when yields are high. Longer maturity bonds with lower coupon rates are more sensitive to interest rate risk and their price will decrease more than short term, high coupon rate bonds.

 

Q8. Which of the following is closest to the maximum price for a bond that is currently callable?

A)   Its par value.

B)   Its par value plus accrued interest.

C)   The call price.

Correct answer is C)

When interest rates fall, causing the price of the bond to increase above the call price, the issuer is likely to call the bond. Therefore the call price acts as a limit on the bond price.

 

Q9. Which of the following statements about the call feature is least accurate? The:

A)   call feature lengthens the bond's duration, increasing price risk.

B)   call feature exposes investors to additional reinvestment rate risk.

C)   call feature reduces the bond's capital appreciation potential.

Correct answer is A)

A call provision decreases the bond's duration because a call provision introduces prepayment risk that should be factored in the calculation.

For the investor, one of the most significant risks of  callable (or prepayable) bonds is that they can be called/retired prematurely. Because bonds are nearly always called for prepayment after interest rates have decreased significantly, the investor will find it nearly impossible to find comparable investment vehicles. Thus, investors have to replace their high-yielding bonds with much lower-yielding issues. From the bondholder’s perspective, a called bond means not only a disruption in cash flow but also a sharply reduced rate of return.

Generally speaking, the following conditions apply to callable bonds:

§   The cash flows associated with callable bonds become unpredictable, since the life of the bond could be much shorter than its term to maturity, due to the call provision.

§   The bondholder is exposed to the risk of investing the proceeds of the bond at lower interest rates after the bond is called. This is known as reinvestment risk.

§   The potential for price appreciation is reduced, because the possibility of a call limits or caps the price of the bond near the call price if interest rates fall (also known as price compression).

 

Q10. Maria Cavilero, a bond investor, is most concerned with price volatility. All else equal, which of the following fixed-coupon bonds would she most likely buy? A fixed coupon-bond with:

A)   10 years to maturity and an 8.5% coupon.

B)   10 years to maturity and a 6.5% coupon.

C)   15 years to maturity and an 8.5% coupon.

Correct answer is A)

This question is asking: given a change in yield, which of the bonds will exhibit the least price change? Of the four choices, Cavilero is most likely to buy the bond with the shortest maturity and highest coupon because it will have the least price volatility. Price volatility is directly related to maturity and inversely related to the coupon rate.
All else equal, the bond with the shorter term to maturity is least sensitive to changes in interest rates. Cash flows that are further into the future are discounted more than near-term cash flows, so the nearer to maturity the cash flows are received, the higher the present value. Here, this means that one of the 10-year bonds will have the least volatility. Similar reasoning applies to the coupon rate. A higher coupon bond delivers more of its total cash flow earlier than a lower coupon bond. All else equal, a bond with a higher coupon will exhibit less price volatility than a lower-coupon bond. Here, this means that of the 10-year bonds, the one with the 8.50% coupon rate will exhibit less price volatility than the bond with the 6.50% coupon.

 

Q11. Which of the following statements about how the features of a bond impact interest rate risk is FALSE?

A)   A lower-coupon bond is more sensitive to interest rate movements than a higher-coupon bond (all else equal).

B)   An inverse relationship between interest rates and bond prices means that the greater the change in interest rates, the less the change in fixed-coupon bond prices.

C)   Bond price movements depend upon the direction and magnitude of changes in interest rates.

Correct answer is B)

The inverse relationship between interest rates and bond prices means that when interest rates increase, fixed-coupon bond prices decrease. In other words, the inverse relationship means that interest rates and bond prices move in opposite directions, it does not infer anything about the magnitude of the change.
The relationship between the coupon rate and price volatility (all else equal) is inverse – a greater coupon results in less price volatility. Remember, if you have a problem with this on the examination, keep in mind that a zero-coupon bond has the highest interest rate risk because it delivers all its cash flows at maturity. Since a zero-coupon bond has a 0.00% coupon, a low coupon equates to high price volatility.

 

Q12. Which of the following bonds has the highest interest rate sensitivity? A:

A)   ten year, option-free 6% coupon bond.

B)   ten year, option-free 4% coupon bond.

C)   five year, 5% coupon bond callable in one year.

Correct answer is B)

If two bonds are identical in all respects except their term to maturity, the longer term bond will be more sensitive to changes in interest rates. All else the same, if a bond has a lower coupon rate when compared with another, it will have greater interest rate risk. Therefore, for the option-free bonds, the 10 year 4% coupon is the longest term and has the lowest coupon rate. The call feature does not make a bond more sensitive to changes in interest rates, because it places a ceiling on the maximum price investors will be willing to pay. If interest rates increase enough the bonds will be called in.

 

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