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looks like there is negative serial correlation in the pass rates...

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I appreciate the comments ref last summer, but just by looking at the pass rates above, there almost looks to be some give and take adjustments to the pass rate based on the previous years level,,agree 45% would make sense, but how do you shoot for that with any accuracy?

Tough is all very well, consistency would make more sense as far as candidates are concerned.

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I'm not liking my chances at the moment, that's for sure

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My guess, based on absolutely no evidence or rationale at all, is 45%

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theL1 pass rate last summer was too high - they'll probably be pretty tough this time around

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