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6、A two-sided but very thick coin is expected to land on its edge twice out of every 100 flips. And the probability of face up (heads) and the probability of face down (tails) are equal. When the coin is flipped, the prize is $1 for heads, $2 for tails, and $50 when the coin lands on its edge. What is the expected value of the prize on a single coin toss?

A) $17.67.

B) $2.47.

C) $1.50.

D) $26.50.

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The correct answer is B

Since the probability of the coin landing on its edge is 0.02, the probability of each of the other two events is 0.49. The expected payoff is: (0.02 × $50) + (0.49 × $1) + (0.49 × $2) = $2.47.

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7、The following table summarizes the availability of trucks with air bags and bucket seats at a dealership.

 

Bucket Seats

No Bucket Seats

Total

 Air Bags

75

50

125 

 No Air Bags

35

60

95

 Total

110

110

220

What is the probability of selecting a truck at random that has either air bags or bucket seats?

A)    34%.

B)    73%.

C)   50%.

D)   107%.

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4、Given the following table about employees of a company based on whether they are smokers or nonsmokers and whether or not they suffer from any allergies, what is the probability of both suffering from allergies and not suffering from allergies?

 

Suffer from Allergies

Don't Suffer from Allergies

Total

Smoker

35

25

60

Nonsmoker

55

185

240

Total

90

210

300

A)   0.50.

B)   0.00.

C)   1.00.

D)   0.24.

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The correct answer is B

These are mutually exclusive, so the joint probability is zero.

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5、The probability of a new Wal-Mart being built in town is 64%. If Wal-Mart comes to town, the probability of a new Wendy’s restaurant being built is 90%. What is the probability of a new Wal-Mart and a new Wendy’s restaurant being built?


A) 0.576.

B) 0.675.

C) 0.240.

D) 0.306.

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The correct answer is A

P(AB) = P(A|B) × P(B)

The probability of a new Wal-Mart and a new Wendy’s is equal to the probability of a new Wendy’s “if Wal-Mart” (0.90) times the probability of a new Wal-Mart (0.64). (0.90)(0.64) = 0.576.

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The correct answer is B

For the four independent events defined here, the probability of the specified outcome is 0.5000 × 0.5000 × 0.1667 × 0.1667 = 0.0069.

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3、A dealer in a casino has rolled a five on a single die three times in a row. What is the probability of her rolling another five on the next roll, assuming it is a fair die?

A) 0.001.

B) 0.167.

C) 0.500.

D) 0.200.

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The correct answer is B

The probability of a value being rolled is 1/6 regardless of the previous value rolled.

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