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Tracking error for a portfolio is best described as the:
A)
sample mean minus population mean.
B)
portfolio return minus a benchmark return.
C)
standard deviation of differences between an index return and portfolio return.



Tracking error is the difference between the total return on a portfolio and the total return on the benchmark used to measure the portfolio’s performance. The difference between a sample statistic and a population parameter is sampling error. The standard deviation of the difference between a portfolio return and an index (or any chosen benchmark return) is more often referred to as tracking risk.

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A portfolio begins the year with a value of $100,000 and ends the year with a value of $95,000. The manager’s performance is measured against an index that declined by 7% on a total return basis during the year. The tracking error of this portfolio is closest to:
A)
−2%.
B)
−5%.
C)
2%.



Tracking error is the portfolio total return minus the benchmark total return. The portfolio return is ($95,000 − $100,000) / $100,000 = −5%. Tracking error = −5% − (−7%) = +2%.

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A discount brokerage firm states that the time between a customer order for a trade and the execution of the order is uniformly distributed between three minutes and fifteen minutes. If a customer orders a trade at 11:54 A.M., what is the probability that the order is executed after noon?
A)
0.750.
B)
0.500.
C)
0.250.



The limits of the uniform distribution are three and 15. Since the problem concerns time, it is continuous. Noon is six minutes after 11:54 A.M. The probability the order is executed after noon is (15 − 6) / (15 − 3) = 0.75.

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The probability density function of a continuous uniform distribution is best described by a:
A)
line segment with a curvilinear slope.
B)
line segment with a 45-degree slope.
C)
horizontal line segment.



By definition, for a continuous uniform distribution, the probability density function is a horizontal line segment over a range of values such that the area under the segment (total probability of an outcome in the range) equals one.

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Consider a random variable X that follows a continuous uniform distribution: 7 ≤ X ≤ 20. Which of the following statements is least accurate?
A)
F(21) = 0.00.
B)
F(12 ≤ X ≤ 16) = 0.307.
C)
F(10) = 0.23.



F(21) = 1.00 The probability density function for a continuous uniform distribution is calculated as follows: F(X) = (X – a) / (b – a), where a and b are the upper and lower endpoints, respectively. (If the given X is greater than the upper limit, the probability is 1.0.) Shortcut: If you know the properties of this function, you do not need to do any calculations to check the other choices.
The other choices are true.
  • F(10) = (10 – 7) / (20 – 7) = 3 / 13 = 0.23
  • F(12 ≤ X ≤ 16) = F(16) – F(12) = [(16 – 7) / (20 – 7)] − [(12 – 7) / (20 – 7)] = 0.692 − 0.385 = 0.307

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A random variable follows a continuous uniform distribution over 27 to 89. What is the probability of an outcome between 34 and 38?
A)
0.0645.
B)
0.0546.
C)
0.0719.



P(34 ≤ X ≤ 38) = (38 − 34) / (89 − 27) = 0.0645

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If X has a normal distribution with μ = 100 and σ = 5, then there is approximately a 90% probability that:
A)
P(93.4 < X < 106.7).
B)
P(90.2 < X < 109.8).
C)
P(91.8 < X < 108.3).



100 +/- 1.65 (5) = 91.75 to 108.25 or P ( P(91.75 < X < 108.25).

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Which of the following statements about a normal distribution is least accurate?
A)
Approximately 34% of the observations fall within plus or minus one standard deviation of the mean.
B)
The distribution is completely described by its mean and variance.
C)
Kurtosis is equal to 3.



Approximately 68% of the observations fall within one standard deviation of the mean. Approximately 34% of the observations fall within the mean plus one standard deviation (or the mean minus one standard deviation).

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A normal distribution is completely described by its:
A)
mean, mode, and skewness.
B)
median and mode.
C)
variance and mean.



By definition, a normal distribution is completely described by its mean and variance.

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In a normal distribution, the:
A)
mean is less than the mode.
B)
mean is greater than the median.
C)
median equals the mode.



In a normal distribution, the mean, median, and mode are all equal.

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