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3、Paul Frank is an analyst for the retail industry. He is examining the role of television viewing by teenagers on the sales of accessory stores. He gathered data and estimated the following regression of sales (in millions of dollars) on the number of hours watched by teenagers (in hours per week):

Salest = 1.05 + 1.6 TVt

Which of the following is the most accurate interpretation of the estimated results? If TV watching:

A) goes up by one hour per week, sales of accessories increase by $1.60.

B) goes up by one hour per week, sales of accessories increase by $1.6 million.

C) changes, no change in sales is expected.

D) is zero (that is, every teenager turns off the TV for a week), the expected sales of accessories is $0.

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The correct answer is B

The interpretation of the slope coefficient is the change in the dependent variable (sales in millions of dollars) for a given one-unit change in the independent variable (TV hours per week). The intercept of 1.05 means that 1.05 million dollars worth of accessories is expected to be sold even if TV watching is zero.


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4、An analyst is examining the relationship between two random variables, RCRANTZ and GSTERN. He performs a linear regression that produces an estimate of the relationship:

RCRANTZ = 61.4 ? 5.9GSTERN

Which interpretation of this regression equation is least accurate?

A) The covariance of RCRANTZ and GSTERN is negative.

B) If GSTERN increases by one unit, RCRANTZ should increase by 5.9 units.

C) The intercept term implies that if GSTERN is zero, RCRANTZ is 61.4.

D) In this regression, RCRANTZ is the dependent variable and GSTERN is the independent variable.

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The correct answer is B

The slope coefficient in this regression is -5.9. This means a one unit increase of GSTERN suggests a decrease of 5.9 units of RCRANTZ. The slope coefficient is the covariance divided by the variance of the independent variable. Since variance (a squared term) must be positive, a negative slope term implies that the covariance is negative.


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5、A simple linear regression is run to quantify the relationship between the return on the common stocks of medium sized companies (Mid Caps) and the return on the S& 500 Index, using the monthly return on Mid Cap stocks as the dependent variable and the monthly return on the S& 500 as the independent variable. The results of the regression are shown below:

 

Coefficient

Standard Error of Coefficient

t-Value

Intercept

1.71

2.950

0.58

S& 500

1.52

0.130

11.69

R2 = 0.599

Use the regression statistics presented above and assume this historical relationship still holds in the future period. If the expected return on the S& 500 over the next period were 11%, the expected return on Mid Cap stocks over the next period would be:

A)    18.4%.

B)    33.8%.

C)   25.6%

D)   20.3%.

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The correct answer is A

Y = intercept + slope(X)

Mid Cap Stock returns = 1.71 + 1.52(11) =18.4%

 

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6、Given: Y = 2.83 + 1.5X

What is the predicted value of the dependent variable when the value of an independent variable equals 2?

A) 5.83

B) -0.55

C) 6.50

D) 2.83

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The correct answer is A

Y = 2.83 + (1.5)(2)

= 2.83 + 3

= 5.83


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7、Paul Frank is an analyst for the retail industry. He is examining the role of television viewing by teenagers on the sales of accessory stores. He gathered data and estimated the following regression of sales (in millions of dollars) on the number of hours watched by teenagers (TV, in hours per week):

Salest = 1.05 + 1.6 TVt

The predicted sales if television watching is 5 hours per week is:

A) $8.00 million.

B) $9.05 million.

C) $2.65 million.

D) $1.05 million.

TOP

 

The correct answer is B

The predicted sales are: Sales = $1.05 + [$1.6 (5)] = $1.05 + $8.00 = $9.05 million.


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上一主题:2007 FRM - Mock Exam 模考试题 (6 - 10)
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