“美国财政部称中国没有操纵汇率 不符合汇率操纵国定义 http://www.huanqiu.com 2011-02-06 03:13 据新华社电 美国财政部4日公布了针对主要贸易对象的《国际经济和汇率政策报告》,报告指出,包括中国在内的美国主要贸易伙伴都没有操纵货币汇率以获取不公平贸易优势。
报告指出,中国从去年6月开始重启人民币汇率形成机制改革,再加上过去几个月以来,人民币对美元汇率升值步伐加快,中国并不符合汇率操纵国的定义。
报告指出,自从去年6月中国增强人民币汇率弹性以来到今年1月27日,人民币对美元已经累计升值3.7%,按名义汇率计算,这一升值幅度折合成年率计算约为6%;此外,由于中国的通胀率大幅高于美国,人民币对美元的实际升值幅度要更大。”
很困惑两国国内的CPI的相对高低和这两国间的汇率有何关系? 搜索到的关于两者关系的解释如下:
Interest rates, inflation and exchange rates are all highly correlated. By manipulating interest rates, central banks exert influence over both inflation and exchange rates, and changing interest rates impact inflation and currency values. Higher interest rates offer lenders in an economy a higher return relative to other countries. Therefore, higher interest rates attract foreign capital and cause the exchange rate to rise. The impact of higher interest rates is mitigated, however, if inflation in the country is much higher than in others, or if additional factors serve to drive the currency down. The opposite relationship exists for decreasing interest rates - that is, lower interest rates tend to decrease exchange rates. http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20080103161827AAeQ72y
大家看看上面这个链接,其中有一句话怎么和美国财政部那句话相矛盾?(that is, a high-inflation currency will likely depreciate vs. a low inflation currency...)
这个解释,高通胀国家的货币相对于低通胀国家货币可能将贬值,我觉得是有道理的,但是和“此外,由于中国的通胀率大幅高于美国,人民币对美元的实际升值幅度要更大。”这句话相矛盾。按照上面的解释,应该是人民币相对美元实际贬值幅度更大才对。
欢迎大家探讨,学以致用,用知识寻找答案
|