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hw0799

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tT
发表于 2011-7-11 19:19 | 只看该作者

Valuing Currency Forward Contracts prior to maturity

somebody, long, contract, discounted, understand
Can somebody explain to me why the value of a currency forward contract to the long is as follows: Vt = St/(1 + R fc)^T-t - Ft/(1 + R dc)^T-t ? I understand this comes from the interest rate parity formula Ft = St * (1 + R dc)^T / (1 + R fc)^T. But can somebody explain to me conceptually why the Spot rate have to be discounted at the foreign rate and the Forward rate (the rate locked in the contract) has to be discounted at the domestic rate?

Many thanks!
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iteracom

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发表于 2011-7-11 19:19 | 只看该作者
think of it this way

if you wanted to enter the contract today
look at formula 15 page 39

now modify it slightly, since we are not at time 0, we are at time t, it become

f(t,T)=(st/(1+rf)^(T-t))(1+r)^(T-t)

agree that is the fair price to enter at?

well wait, insted you are already commited at

F0

the diff is

(st/(1+rf)^(T-t))(1+r)^(T-t)- [f0]

but that diff does not happen till the future

so it all needs to be discounted back to today

devide both sides by (1+rd)^(T-t) in order to discount and you get the formula you have..



there are many other ways to go about it, all lead to the same thing, MATH has yet to disappoint me..

i hope this helps

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chaojimali

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3#
发表于 2011-7-11 19:19 | 只看该作者
please replace F0 in the above example with

F(0,T)

it is more "correct"

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Rasec

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4#
发表于 2011-7-11 19:19 | 只看该作者
also notice the reason i devided both and not ONE by the domestic rate is that the pay offs are in the domestic rate...

it just so happened that the equation simlified giving you the apperance that you are dividing one by domestic and one by forign rate, while in fact both are being devided by domestic rate...

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onelife1

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发表于 2011-7-11 19:19 | 只看该作者
Thank you so much for your thorough explanation! It makes the whole concept much clearer now.

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YAhmed

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6#
发表于 2011-7-11 19:19 | 只看该作者
Any time my friend, and take this advice please.

If you spend an hours using this logic and applying it to all other forwards and futures valuation formulas, you will realise you do not have to memorise them.

I personally could not possible memorise them.

All you have to do is understand how to price them, which is probably straight forward for you by now and you can modify it to any type of contract...

You apply the logic above and you get the value formula, Works on all of them. Some times you would get a diff formula that will give you the same answer. Based on how you end up simplifying

Reagrds,

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