Jim Trent, CFA has been asked to price a three month forward contract on 10,000 shares of Global Industries stock. The stock is currently trading at $58 and will pay a dividend of $2 today. If the effective annual risk-free rate is 6%, what price should the forward contract have? Assume the stock price will change value after the dividend is paid.
One method is to subtract the future value of the dividend from the future value of the asset calculated at the risk free rate (i.e. the no-arbitrage forward price with no dividend).
FP = 58(1.06) 1/4 – 2(1.06) 1/4 = $56.82
This is equivalent to subtracting the present value of the dividend from the current price of the asset and then calculating the no-arbitrage forward price based on that value. |