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 UID222267 帖子314 主题68 注册时间2011-7-2 最后登录2016-4-19 
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| Money weight return>Time weighted prior to strong performance Money weight return< time weighted prior to weak performance.
 
 Time weighted return does not take into account cashflow, which is
 generally out of mgmt control. GIPS prefers Time weighted.
 
 Portfolio return=market return+style return+active return
 P=market return+(benchmark return-market return)+(portfolio return-benchmark return)
 
 Active return is composed of a set of under weight and over weight position in benchmark
 
 Properties of a Valid Benchmark
 
 S-specified in advance (everyone knows in advance what the benchmark is. Benchmark based on
 Relative manager performance is not considered to be Specified in advance)
 
 A-Appropriate-should be consistent with managers investment style and area of expertise. Using a broad market index for a value investor is not appropriate.
 
 M-measurable-return calcs are easy to calculate.
 
 U-Unambigious-weight and identity of securities are known.
 
 O-Owned meaning that there is accountability
 
 R-Reflective on current investment opinion, that is the manager has knowledge of the securities and factor exposures of the benchmark
 
 I-Investable-you can passively invest in securites. Not possible with an absolute or relative benchmark. Should have low turnover.
 
 Test of a Benchmark Quality
 
 Systematic Biases-Beta of manager and benchmark close to 1 plus low correlation between (B-M) and (P-B) and strong correlation between style and (B-M)
 
 Tracking error-volatility of (P-B) should be less than (P-M)
 
 Risk characteristics-manager should have exposure at times great and less than benchmark but not consistently in one direction.
 
 Turnover-benchmark should have low turnover so that it is INVESTABLE(see above)
 
 Positive active positive-manager should hold a net positive active position (weight in portfolio-weight in benchmark)
 
 Performance Attribution
 
 EQUITY
 
 Macro Attribution
 
 Beginning Value
 Plus
 A a cash contributions-Cash inflows
 R Risk free-BV+ Net cashflows invested at RF rate
 A Asset Class return-incremental return based on passive investment in asset class using asset class weights
 B Benchmark-increm, return based on passive investment in benchmark using benchmark weights
 I Investment manager-increm. return based on active investment managers return using benchmark weights
 A Active Allocation-reconciling factor
 
 Micro Attribution
 
 Attributable to Portfolio manager skill
 (security weight in portfolio- security weight in benchmark)*(return in benchmark-TOTAL Benchmark)
 
 Attributable to Security analyst skill
 security weight in benchmark*(portfolio return – benchmark return)
 
 Asset/selection interaction
 (security weight in portfolio- security weight in benchmark)*(return in portfolio-return in benchmark)
 
 FIXED INCOME
 
 Total return = External interest rate effects + mgmt effects
 
 External Effects=expected and unexpected interest rate effects
 Expected is the implied forward rate
 Unexpected is difference between actual and implied forward rate from above
 
 Mgmt effects
 
 Interest rate effect
 Indicates how well mgmt predicted interest rate changes due to
 Duration-parallel shifts
 Convexity-parallel shifts
 Yield Curve changes-twist
 
 Sector Quality
 Measures ability to select right issuing sectors and quality group
 
 Security Selection
 Measures how the return of a specific security within a specific sector relates to avg performance of sector
 
 Trading activity
 Captures the effects of sale and purchase
 
 When examining return look at mgmt effect separately and determine where the majority of the return was coming from. Compare that with manager style to see if both are consistent.
 
 Risk Based Performance Measures-NON NORMAL RETURNS INVALIDATE ALL THESE MEASURES
 
 Beta Based Measures
 
 ExPost Alpha=Return on account – RF- estimated Beta during EVALUATION PERIOD
 *(Return on market- RF)
 
 Treynor Method= (Average Return over evaluation period – Average RF return)/estimated Beta during
 EVALUATION PERIOD
 
 Volatility Based Measure
 
 Ex Post Sharpe= (Average Return over evaluation period – Average RF return)/ estimated Standard Deviation over evaluation period
 
 M2-measures what the account would have returned if it had taken the same total risk as the market
 
 Information ratio=(Average portfolio Return over evaluation period – Average Benchmark return over same period)/ estimated tracking risk over evaluation period
 
 It is possible for Volatility based measure to indicate poor performance relative to Beta based measure. This may be the result of the manager taking large nonsystematic/Unique/idiosyncratic risk relative to systematic.
 
 Critics have attacked these risk based methods based on their reliance on single variable CAPM, Market proxy used, benchmarks used (for example it is difficult to passively invest a broad market index or custom based index and the costs associated with creating and managing them are ignore) and stability of the parameters.
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