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发表于 2011-9-22 16:24
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I have tried looking back at other years to see if there is the same type of discussion re the AM session - i have not noticed anywhere near as dense a set of comment strings and was wondering if anyone had access to any similar type of discussion for previous years, and by this i mean strength in depth of comments, not just isolated or incidental comment.
While i think you can fail these exams through lack of preparation, i do not personally feel that the level of independent thought needed to pass these exams is wild to any extreme: there is no complicated math, you are only dealing with segments of problems and do not have to work through a complete problem and the content is at a fairly basic level and where it is not basic, it does not go.
Also the fact that you have passed I and II means you have the necessary platform to pass III and anyone who passed PM by a good margin while failing AM has also demonstrated the ability to pass.
The difference between AM pass and fail is not, in my opinion, an ability to think independently or to understand rather than memorise: in truth your answers are restricted to course content and dogma which means that you can only iterate within the confines of the course, meaning that analysis and synthesis is constrained to the point that you have to assume a passive and wholesale acceptance of course instruction to pass. In other words, you might have to shut off part of cerebral processing to pass.
I do have issues with many aspects of the course and part of me wonders if these issues are relevant to AM passing: that is linear mental processing would just draw a line from a to b and happlily ignore the fact that there is no context for the line in the first place, while non linear thinking would wonder how the leap of faith from a to b came about in the first place, noting the fact that b was either unsupported or was in fact c, and would be forced for the sake of the exam to believe in the line that connects a to b.
For example, you might notice there is no line drawn between immunised or cash matched fixed interest portfolios and the total overall portfolio constructed via MVO - immunisation ignores cash flows and rebalancing items from the equity and other asset components (because of the uncertainty over those flows) and the fact that via rebalancing it might be efficient to use rebalancing to meet quasi liabilities. Where a portfolio has a significant equity or other asset component they need to be incorporated into the entire asset liability modelling and management equation - strict immunisation and cash matching to a large extent ignores these issues.
Also, the course fails in my mind to address the logistical differences between institutional and private client portfolio management. In other words the Am sessions dealing with IPS and portfolio management are severely contrained with respect to reality.
Finally, the whole premise of using statistical analysis, MVO and Monte Carlo is that markets are not just efficient, but that the market and economic universe is in equilibrium and that future price movements are random and independent: once you are out of equilibrium, this framework does not hold. Having to write an exam under the presumption that monte carlo simulation is a correct approximation of the uncertainty of future returns, standard deviations and correlations is very difficult to stomach. MPT is a starting point for portfolio construction planning and management, but is depedent on a set of very strict assumptions: accepting the weaknesses of the construct out of equilibrium would be a very good start for the CFA to broadening the intellectual density of the course. I am not saying do not teach it, but we need to accept that it has weaknesses and limitations.
In my opinion the course provides a very clunky frame for dealing with portfolio construction, planning and management issues principally because it is not really intended to deal with these issues: it is designed to deliver a large body of knowledge based on a constrained economic and market paradigm and it is here that i think the conflict lies between the AM section required output and the context of the AM section itself.
In other words, the essay section construct may be an inappropriate format for assessing the objective of the course and the issue may be more than just the semantics of a misleading name - as i have said before, the term essay is a misnomer for what would appear to be the required output of the morning session.
I must admit I am intrigued by the Am section process but am hampered in my ability to make any concrete assessment by the lack of data. |
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