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5#
发表于 2011-10-5 13:45
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I was just bringing up that there is a longstanding debate about what RFR to use, and that the only agreement seems to be that if you specify an investment horizon, the RFR is the rate on a zero coupon Treasury security that matures at the same time as that investment horizon.
It also implies that, unless the yield curve is perfectly flat, the Sharpe Ratio will actually be different for different investors, because of their different time horizons.
If my investment horizon is 10 years, then the 90d T-bill is in fact quite risky, because I have reinvestment risk. 90d T-bill interest rates can wander all over the place in the interim. If my horizon is 1 year, then the 10y note is very risky because it has a ton of interest rate risk. It's really only the zero-coupon bond maturing at the right time (or possibly a regular coupon treasury with the same duration) that is risk free. Then you can have more fun by asking about inflation adjustments.
In the mutual fund world, most managers don't necessarily know what the investor's time horizon is, because everyone might have a different one, so there it makes sense to make the RFR equal to a typical holding/rebalancing period, and usually that means either the 90d Treasury or the 1y treasury. In long term asset allocation studies for retirement planning, the 10y Treasury average yield may make more sense, although some people will might adjust those allocations yearly depending on where the 10y has gone in the interim. If your risk taking ability is constant, then changing interest rates will affect your division between cash and risky assets, although it might be small, especially if the Sharpe ratio is small.
Edited 2 time(s). Last edit at Thursday, May 19, 2011 at 09:08PM by bchadwick. |
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