Board logo

标题: Reading 54: Efficient Capital Markets LOSb习题精选 [打印本页]

作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:12     标题: [2010]Session 13-Reading 54: Efficient Capital Markets LOSb习题精选

LOS b, (Part 1): Describe the tests used to examine each of the three forms of the EMH.

Which form(s) of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is (are) tested by measuring a security’s excess returns with respect to market returns while considering the security’s market risk?

A)

Semi-strong form.

B)

Weak-form.

C)

Weak and semi-strong forms.




One set of tests for the semi-strong form of the EMH examines security performance adjusted for market risk.

 

作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:12

A stock's abnormal rate of return is defined as the:

A)

rate of return during abnormal price movements.

B)

actual rate of return less the expected risk-adjusted rate of return.

C)

expected risk-adjusted rate of return minus the market rate of return.




Abnormal return = Actual return – expected risk-adjusted return


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:13

Which of the following statements about efficient capital markets and the efficient market hypothesis is least accurate?

A)
The semistrong form of the market efficiency hypothesis states that prices fully reflect all information from public sources.
B)
Filter rules in stock trading have been shown to produce above-average rates of return, even after including transactions costs.
C)
Efficient capital markets assume that information comes to the market in a random fashion.



Filter rules have not been shown to produce above-average rates of return after accounting for transactions costs.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:15

If statistical tests of stock returns over time support the efficient market hypothesis, the resulting correlations should be:

A)

lagged.

B)

positive.

C)

zero.




There should be zero correlation between observations, or all observations should be independent of each other, if the weak-form EMH is true.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:15

Tests of trading rules based on available market data are tests of which form of the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH)?

A)

They are used to test all three forms.

B)

Weak-form.

C)

Semistrong-form.




Trading rule tests are used to examine the weak form of the EMH. Most evidence suggests that technical trading rules do not produce superior returns after adjusting for transaction costs and taxes.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:16

“Runs tests” involve which form of the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH)?

A)

They are used to test all three forms.

B)

Weak-form.

C)

Semistrong-form.




Statistical tests of the independence of security returns are used to examine the weak form of the EMH. Autocorrelation and runs tests are tests for independence over time.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:20

Which of the following are examples of tests used to examine the statistical independence of past returns?

A)
Filter rules tests.
B)
Runs tests.
C)
Event study tests.



Both the runs and the autocorrelation tests are used to examine the statistically independence of past returns. Filter rule tests have been conducted to see if investors can earn excess returns following mechanical trading rules based on price data.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:20

A trading rule which signals purchase of a stock if it rises X percent and sale of stock if it falls X percent is known as a:

A)

breakout.

B)

sieve.

C)

filter.




Filter rules entail trading stocks when prices move up or down by certain amounts.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:20

A “runs test” on successive stock price changes which supports the efficient market hypothesis would show that the actual number of runs:

A)

is small.

B)

falls into the range expected of a dependent series.

C)

falls into the range expected of a random series.




The weak form of the efficient market hypothesis argues that, over time, security returns are independent of each other. Runs tests contend that stock price changes (upticks and downticks) are independent over time.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:21

Which of the following statements about the efficient market hypothesis is least accurate?

A)
Efficient markets tests have found that professional money managers, as a group, have consistently outperformed the market.
B)
Exchange specialists derive above-average returns from private information.
C)
The use of a price weighting versus a market value weighting produces a downward bias on the index.



Professional money managers, as a group, have not been found to outperform the market.

 


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:21

Which category of tests assumes that, in an efficient market, securities lie on the security market line?

A)

Cross-sectional tests.

B)

Anomaly studies.

C)

Time-series tests.




Cross-sectional tests operate under the assumption that, in an efficient market, all securities must lie directly on the security market line.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:22

Which of the following has least likely been involved in a direct test of the semistrong form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)?

A)

Exchange listing.

B)

Stock splits.

C)

NYSE Specialists' returns.




Stock exchange specialists tests are a test of the strong-form EMH, because they are related to private or insider information.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:23

Which of the following forms of the EMH assumes that no group of investors has monopolistic access to relevant information?

A)
Weak-form.
B)
Strong-form.
C)
Both weak and semistrong form.



According to the strong-form EMH, security prices reflect all information, which includes the privately available (monopolistic) information.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:23

Which of the following tests are NOT used to examine the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis? Those that examine:

A)

a security's return relative to the market return.

B)

whether security returns are independent over time.

C)

whether excess returns can be obtained from using mechanical trading rules.




Early tests for the semi-strong form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) examine security performance relative to the market return. Weak-form EMH tests include auto correlation, run, and trading rule tests.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:23

Which of the following statements about the various tests of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is INCORRECT?

A)
The historical performance of professional money managers supports the semi-strong form of the EMH.
B)
Tests of the semi-strong form EMH give mixed results. Time-series tests such as dividend yield and default spread reject the semi-strong form EMH while event studies of stock splits and announcements of accounting changes support it.
C)
The superior historical performance of exchange specialists and corporate insiders rejects the semi-strong form of the EMH.



The superior historical performance of exchange specialists and corporate insiders rejects the strong form of the EMH.

The other statements are correct. Statistical and trading rule tests support the weak-form EMH contention that security prices reflect all historical market information and that mechanical trading rules do not result in superior returns. Cross-sectional tests such as the price-earnings ratio, neglected firms tests, and book value to market value tests reject the semi-strong form of the EMH. These tests show that certain stocks have high realized returns (for example, low P/E stocks and high book value to market value stocks). Tests show that professional money managers perform no better than a random buy and hold strategy. This supports the semi-strong form EMH contention that stock prices reflect all public information. (Aside from corporate insiders and specialists, no group has monopolistic access to information that would result in superior returns.)

作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:23

Which of the following efficient markets studies suggests that securities markets are semistrong-form efficient?

A)

Calendar studies.

B)

Small-firm effect.

C)

Short-term stock splits.




Results of empirical tests suggest that there are no short-run or long-run impacts on security returns due to stock splits. This supports the semistrong-form efficient market hypothesis (EMH). Evidence of excess returns has been found for calendar effects and small firms.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:24

Banz and Reinganum found that small firms consistently outperformed large firms. This anomaly is referred to as the:

A)

size effect.

B)

large firm effect.

C)

growth effect.




The size effect indicates that small firms consistently experienced significantly larger risk-adjusted returns than larger firms.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:25

The opportunity to take advantage of the downward pressure on stock prices that result from end-of-the-year tax selling is known as the:

A)

end-of-the-year effect.

B)

end-of-the-year anomaly.

C)

January anomaly.




The January Anomaly is most likely the result of tax induced trading at year end. An investor can profit by buying stocks in December and selling them during the first week in January.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:26

Which of the following groups of stocks do NOT tend to show above average returns over time?

A)

Stocks with low Book Value to Market Value (BV/MV).

B)

Small stocks.

C)

Neglected stocks.




Most empirical evidence suggests that the greater the ratio of book value/market value, the greater the risk adjusted rate of return. Small, neglected and low P/E stocks have all shown evidence of excess returns.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:26

Which of the following would provide evidence against the semistrong form of the efficient market theory?

A)

Trend analysis is worthless in determining stock prices.

B)

All investors have learned to exploit signals related to future performance.

C)

Low P/E stocks tend to have positive abnormal returns over the long run.




P/E information is publicly available information and therefore this test relates to the semistrong-form EMH. Trend analysis is based on historical information and therefore relates to the weak-form EMH. In an efficient market one would expect 50% of pension fund managers to do better than average and 50% of pension fund managers to do worse than average. If all investors exploit the same information no excess returns are possible.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:27

Many academics claim that a particular anomaly's results reflect the inability of the asset pricing model to provide a complete measure of risk. Which of the following anomalies are the academics discussing?

A)
The size effect.
B)
Initial public offerings.
C)
The neglected firm effect.



Many academics believe that the size effect is an anomaly due to the capital asset pricing model's (CAPM) inability to provide a complete measure of risk.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:27

Documented market anomalies include all of the following EXCEPT:

A)
firms with only a small number of analysts following them have abnormally high returns.
B)
the greater the ratio of book value/market value, the greater the risk-adjusted rate of return.
C)
the ability for an investor to profit by buying stocks on Friday and selling them on Monday.



The weekend effect actually shows that there is a negative return from buying stocks on Friday and selling them on Monday. The book value/market value ratio effect and the neglected firm effect are both documented market anomalies.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:27

Which of the following conclusions about the semistrong form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and the strong-form EMH is least accurate?

A)
Some tests reject the semistrong form of market efficiency.
B)
Neglected firms (i.e., those firms with a small number of analysts following them) tend to underperform the market.
C)
If the strong form of market efficiency were true, there would be no need for insider trading laws.



Neglected firms tend to outperform the market.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:28

Which of the following statements about the semistrong-form efficient market hypothesis (EMH) and the strong-form EMH is least accurate?

A)
Tests have found that stocks with low price to earning (P/E) ratios tend to outperform stocks with high P/E ratios.
B)
The "Heard on the Street" column in the Wall Street Journal appears to move stocks.
C)
Small firms tend to underperform large firms on a risk-adjusted basis.



Small firms tend to outperform large stocks on a risk-adjusted basis.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:28

Which of the following statements about the efficient market hypothesis is least accurate?

A)
The evidence suggests that stock markets are weak-form efficient.
B)
Tests of independence in stock returns have found no autocorrelation.
C)
Studies of market anomalies have found a positive return between the Friday close and the Monday open, known as the weekend effect.



Studies of market anomalies have found a negative return between the Friday close and the Monday open. This is known as the weekend effect.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:29

Tests using quarterly earnings reports are tests of which form(s) of the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH)?

A)

Semistrong-form.

B)

They are used to test all three forms.

C)

Weak-form.




The semistrong form of the EMH asserts that security prices fully reflect all publicly available information. Announcement type information such as that related to earnings is an example of publicly available information.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:29

The January Anomaly, the neglected firm effect, and the book value/market value ratio are studies examining which form of the EMH?

A)

Semistrong-form of the EMH.

B)

Weak-form of the EMH.

C)

Both the weak and semistrong forms of the EMH.




These tests are related to the semi-strong form of the EMH, because they all examine publicly available information.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:29

Which of the following statements about efficient markets and indexes is least accurate?

A)
If markets are efficient, investors should not trade often.
B)
An unweighted index assumes that investors make and maintain an equal dollar investment in each stock in the index.
C)
Efficient markets tests have found that stocks with high price-to-earnings ratios (P/E) tend to outperform stocks with low P/E ratios.



Tests show that low P/E ratio stocks outperform high P/E ratio stocks.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:29

LOS b, (Part 3): Explain the overall conclusions about each form of the EMH.

Which of the following statements about the efficient market hypothesis, security markets, options, and real estate is least accurate?

A)
Efficient market studies have found that no trading strategy outperforms the market.
B)
Returns on real estate investments typically have low correlations with returns on stocks and bonds.
C)
The depth of the market is typically defined as the number of traders willing to trade at prices above and below the current price.



There are several efficient market anomalies (i.e., those that produce above-average returns) including the size effect, the P/E effect, and the book-to-market value effect.

[此贴子已经被作者于2010-4-22 14:30:01编辑过]


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:31

Which of the following statements about the implications of tests for the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is least accurate?

A)
The best way to measure the performance of investments professionals is against a randomly selected buy-hold strategy of stocks (assuming the same risk level).
B)
Other than corporate insiders and market specialists, most traders have monopolistic access to information, which rejects the strong-form EMH.
C)
By purchasing an index fund, an investor can match the market return and minimize costs.



Other than corporate insiders and market specialists, no other group has monopolistic access to information, which supports the strong-form EMH. The other statements are true.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:31

Studies from which form(s) of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) provide evidence that security prices adjust so quickly to a public announcement that it is not possible for investors to realize significant abnormal returns after a public announcement has been made?

A)

weak-form of the EMH.

B)

semistrong-form of the EMH.

C)

strong-form of the EMH.




Event study results provide strong evidence in support of the semistrong-form of the EMH. However, time series and cross-sectional tests provide mixed evidence of semi-strong form efficiency.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:32

Which of the following statements regarding capital market efficiency is most accurate?

A)

Event studies and time series tests provide evidence that markets do not tend to be semi-strong form efficient.

B)

Study results generally do not support the strong form of the efficient market hypothesis.

C)

Corporate insiders and stock exchange specialists have monopolistic access to information that can be used to obtain positive abnormal returns.




In general, study results support the strong form of the efficient market hypothesis. Exceptions include corporate insiders and exchange specialists since they appear to have monopolistic access to important information that may allow them to achieve positive abnormal returns.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:32

Which of the following statements describes the overall conclusions regarding the weak-form of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)?

A)
Most evidence indicates that after incorporating trading costs, simple trading rules do not generate positive abnormal profits.
B)
Corporate insiders and exchange specialists have monopolistic access to highly valuable information.
C)
All evidence indicates that simple trading rules generate positive abnormal returns.



Positive returns cannot be obtained thru the use of simple trading rules, since this pertains to the weak-form EMH.


作者: honeycfa    时间: 2010-4-22 14:32

Which of the following statements is least accurate with regard to the tests for the three forms of the efficient market hypothesis?

A)
The historical performance of professional money managers supports the strong form of the EMH.
B)
The tests for the semi-strong form EMH give mixed results. Time-series tests such as dividend yield and default spread reject the semi-strong form EMH and event studies on stock splits and announcements of accounting changes support it.
C)
Results of trading rule tests, such as filter rules, support the semi-strong form of the EMH.



Results of trading rule tests, such as filter rules, support the weak form of the EMH.

The other choices are true. Tests show that professional money managers perform no better than a random buy and hold strategy. This supports the strong form EMH contention that stock prices reflect all information, public and private. (Aside from corporate insiders and specialists, no group has monopolistic access to information that would result in superior returns.)






欢迎光临 CFA论坛 (http://forum.theanalystspace.com/) Powered by Discuz! 7.2