Which of the following is least likely to result from an increase in the rate of growth in the money supply?
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The real risk-free rate is independent of changes in the growth of the money supply. Both remaining items are consistent with an increase in the growth rate of the money supply.
Two economists, Pearl Millidge and Byron Forrest, are discussing theories that explain why increased inflation causes nominal interest rates to rise. They offer the following explanations:
Millidge: Because businesses expect higher prices for their output in the future, they will expect a greater return on their investments and will increase their demand for financial capital, which will drive interest rates higher.
Forrest: Savers expect to pay higher prices for goods and services in the future, so they will be less willing to trade current consumption for future consumption and will therefore supply less financial capital, so interest rates increase.
Are these explanations CORRECT?
Millidge | Forrest |
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Both explanations are correct. Higher inflation results in increased demand for financial capital and decreased supply of financial capital. Both cause nominal interest rates to increase.
If market participants come to believe that the expected inflation rate embedded in the current nominal risk-free rate of interest is less than will actually occur, this will have the effect of:
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If market participants come to believe that actual inflation will be greater than the expected inflation premium embedded in the nominal risk-free rate, the demand for financial capital will increase, the supply will decrease, and, eventually, the nominal risk-free rate will increase to reflect the new expectations.
The nominal risk-free rate of interest equals the real risk-free rate:
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The nominal risk-free rate of interest (i.e., that which is observed as the required rate of return on T-bills) equals the real risk-free rate plus expected inflation.
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