Board logo

标题: Option Binomial model [打印本页]

作者: BC_MBA_student    时间: 2011-7-11 19:12     标题: Option Binomial model

All,

Schweser formula on size of down move is= 1/up move

Where as CFA books is= 1-down move (usually given in the question).

Which one is correct?

Thanks for your help
作者: zephyranalyst    时间: 2011-7-11 19:12

The size of the down move is: D = 1/U

The probability of an up move is: U = 1+Rf-D/U-D
The probability of a down move is: D = 1-U
作者: hassan    时间: 2011-7-11 19:12

We deal with options pricing at work. Binomial isn't a tough concept once you conceptually what you're doing. It's essentially a tree that maps the likelihood that a stock price will go up or down. Since there are only 2 possible options, up or down, 1 - probability up = probability down and vice versa. Essentially, your getting confused by the transposition of the problem.

In reality, the binomial is too general to give you and accurate view of the pricing. Trinomial models take into account the probability that the stock price will remain the same and more complex models, like the Gram-Charlier model take into account skewness and kurtosis.




欢迎光临 CFA论坛 (http://forum.theanalystspace.com/) Powered by Discuz! 7.2